Evansville vs. Valparaiso betting: College basketball preview for February 16

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Evansville Purple Aces (9-17, 6-9 MVC) are favored (-1.5) to end a three-game losing streak when they host the Valparaiso Beacons (11-15, 4-11 MVC) at 8:00 PM ET on Sunday, February 16, 2025 at Ford Center. The contest airs on ESPN+. The matchup’s over/under is 142.5.

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Evansville Cover -1.5 vs Valparaiso -103

Bet $20, Payout $39.42

Evansville vs. Valparaiso betting lines

  • Evansville moneyline odds to win: -108
  • Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: -112
  • Spread: Evansville (-1.5)
  • Total: 142.5

Evansville statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Evansville sports a better record against the spread in home games (6-7-0) than it does in away games (4-8-0).
  • At home, the Purple Aces go over the over/under 46.2% of the time (six of 13 games). They’ve hit the over in 25% of road games (three of 12 contests).

Recent trends

  • The Purple Aces have been putting up 66.8 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little higher than the 65.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • Evansville’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has given up 73.5 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 70.7 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
  • The Purple Aces’ 6.8 made three-pointers per-game average over their last 10 games are less than the 7.2 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 33.0% compared to their season-long percentage of 30.5% from deep.

Evansville betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-15-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 4-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 9-13-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-16-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 3-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-2 (Home: 1-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 7-15 (Home: 4-6; Away: 3-9)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.7 (291st in nation) 42.3 (99th) 29.8 (303rd) 33.0 (289th) 13.0 (232nd) 11.2 (170th)

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Valparaiso statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Valparaiso’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .538 (7-6-0). Away, it is .500 (5-4-1).
  • Beacons games have gone above the over/under more frequently at home (eight times out of 13) than away (six of 10) this year.
  • This season the Beacons are 3-4 at home as moneyline underdogs (.429 winning percentage). On the road they are 2-8 (.200).

Recent trends

  • Over their previous 10 games, the Beacons are scoring 69.6 points per game, compared to their season average of 76.4.
  • Valparaiso is allowing 77.4 points per game in its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 75.2 points allowed.
  • The Beacons are making 7.4 treys per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 0.3 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.7). Additionally, they sport a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (32.2%) compared to their season average from downtown (33.3%).

Valparaiso betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-11-1 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 5-4-1)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 8-7-1 (As Favorite: 4-3-0; As Underdog: 8-8-1)
  • O-U-P: 15-9-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-2 (Home: 4-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-13 (Home: 3-4; Away: 2-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.3 (260th in nation) 46.5 (320th) 31.7 (203rd) 31.1 (178th) 11.8 (306th) 9.8 (44th)
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