Duke vs. Notre Dame betting: College basketball preview for January 11

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 4 Duke Blue Devils (13-2, 5-0 ACC) are heavy, 19.5-point favorites as they attempt to extend a nine-game win streak when they host the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-8, 1-3 ACC) on Saturday, January 11, 2025 at Cameron Indoor Stadium. The contest airs at 12:00 PM ET on ESPN. The matchup has an over/under set at 136 points.

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Spread

Duke Cover -19.5 vs Notre Dame -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Duke vs. Notre Dame betting lines

  • Duke moneyline odds to win: -3448
  • Notre Dame moneyline odds to win: +1400
  • Spread: Duke (-19.5)
  • Total: 136

Duke statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Duke owns a worse record against the spread in home games (6-3-0) than it does on the road (4-0-0).
  • The Blue Devils have hit the over on the total in a higher percentage of games at home (44.4%) than away games (25%).
  • Duke, as a moneyline favorite, has an identical winning percentage in home games (9-0 record) and on the road (3-0 record).

Recent trends

  • The Blue Devils’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, putting up 77.7 points a contest compared to the 80.0 they’ve averaged this season.
  • Duke’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 58.9 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 58.4 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
  • The Blue Devils are trending down from deep over their last 10 outings, making 9.8 threes per game and shooting 36.7% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 10.3 makes and 36.9% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Duke betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-5-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 4-0-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 19.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 9-5-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 5-10-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 1-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-2 (Home: 9-0; Away: 3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.5 (68th in nation) 35.8 (fourth) 37.4 (17th) 28.3 (48th) 16.7 (47th) 9.9 (40th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Duke vs. Notre Dame? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Notre Dame statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Notre Dame has an identical winning percentage (.500) at home (4-4-0 record) and on the road (2-2-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Fighting Irish games have gone over 50% of the time this season, both at home (four of eight) and away (two of four).
  • The Fighting Irish, when moneyline underdogs, have won the same percentage of games at home (0-1) as away (0-3) this season.

Recent trends

  • While the Fighting Irish are scoring 74.9 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their past 10 games, producing 71.2 points per contest.
  • While Notre Dame is allowing 70.5 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse over its previous 10 games, allowing 71.6 points per contest.
  • The Fighting Irish are making 8.1 threes per contest in their past 10 games, the same number as their average for the season. Meanwhile, they have a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 games (35.8%) compared to their season average (36.0%).

Notre Dame betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 8-6-1 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 2-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-7-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 2-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-1 (Home: 6-1; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-7 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.9 (90th in nation) 43.4 (192nd) 32.9 (181st) 28.7 (62nd) 12.8 (255th) 9.9 (40th)
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