A pair of streaking teams square off when the No. 2 Duke Blue Devils (27-3, 18-1 ACC) visit the North Carolina Tar Heels (20-11, 13-6 ACC) on Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 6:30 p.m. ET. The Tar Heels are 10-point underdogs and will try to keep their seven-game win streak going against the Blue Devils, winners of seven straight. The matchup has an over/under set at 159.5 points.
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Duke Cover -10 vs North Carolina -108
Duke vs. North Carolina betting lines
- Duke moneyline odds to win: -476
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: +362
- Spread: Duke (-10)
- Total: 159.5
Duke statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Duke has a worse record against the spread in home games (11-6-0) than it does on the road (8-2-0).
- When playing at home, the Blue Devils go over the total 58.8% of the time (10 of 17 games). They’ve hit the over in 50% of road games (five of 10 contests).
- Duke has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 17-0 (1.000). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 8-1 (.889).
Recent trends
- On offense, the Blue Devils have picked up their production quite a bit over their last 10 games, scoring 90.5 points per contest over that span compared to the 83.5 they’ve put up over the course of this season.
- The last 10 games have seen Duke give up 3.1 more points per game (64.2) than its season-long average (61.1).
- During their last 10 contests, the Blue Devils are making 0.8 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (11.2 compared to 10.4 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (42.9% compared to 38.5% season-long).
Duke betting records this season
- ATS Record: 20-10-0 (Home: 11-6-0; Away: 8-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 10+: 15-7-0 (As Favorite: 19-10-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
- O-U-P: 16-14-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 26-3 (Home: 17-0; Away: 8-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.9 (15th in nation) | 38.2 (fourth) | 36.3 (15th) | 26.9 (12th) | 17.2 (10th) | 9 (11th) |
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North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This year, North Carolina is 7-7-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). On the road, it is 4-8-0 ATS (.333).
- In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Tar Heels’ games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, seven of 14) compared to on the road (58.3%, seven of 12).
Recent trends
- Over their past 10 games, the Tar Heels are compiling 81.2 points per game, compared to their season average of 82.1.
- While North Carolina is allowing 75.9 points per game in 2024-25, it has improved that mark over its last 10 games, allowing 74.9 points per contest.
- Over their previous 10 games, the Tar Heels are draining 9 treys per game, 1.2 more than their season average (7.8). They also sport a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (42.3%) compared to their season average (35.4%).
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-19-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 4-8-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 10+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 10-13-0; As Underdog: 2-6-0)
- O-U-P: 18-13-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 7-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-4 (Home: 12-2; Away: 6-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.3 (29th in nation) | 43.3 (143rd) | 33.4 (92nd) | 30.9 (170th) | 14.9 (91st) | 10.7 (131st) |
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