Duke vs. NC State betting: College basketball preview for January 27

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The NC State Wolfpack (9-10, 2-6 ACC) are big, 22.5-point underdogs as they attempt to break a four-game losing streak when they visit the No. 2 Duke Blue Devils (17-2, 9-0 ACC) on Monday, January 27, 2025 at Cameron Indoor Stadium. The game airs at 8:30 PM ET on ESPN. The matchup has an over/under of 133.5.

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Duke Cover -22.5 vs NC State -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Duke vs. NC State betting lines

  • Duke moneyline odds to win: -6250
  • NC State moneyline odds to win: +1863
  • Spread: Duke (-22.5)
  • Total: 133.5

Duke statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • When playing at home, Duke sports a worse record against the spread (7-4-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (5-1-0).
  • Looking at over/unders, the Blue Devils hit the over more often at home, as they’ve exceeded the total five times in 11 opportunities this season (45.5%). In away games, they have hit the over two times in six opportunities (33.3%).
  • Duke, as a moneyline favorite, has the same winning percentage in home games (11-0 record) and on the road (5-0 record).

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Blue Devils have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 80.1 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 80.3 they’ve put up over the course of this year.
  • Duke has been more stingy on the defensive side of the ball as of late, allowing 57.4 points per game during its last 10 contests compared to the 59.3 points per game its opponents average on the 2024-25 season.
  • Over their past 10 outings, the Blue Devils are making 0.2 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (10.2 compared to 10.4 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (38.5% compared to 37.0% season-long).

Duke betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-7-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 5-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 22.5+: 5-3-0 (As Favorite: 11-7-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-12-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 2-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-2 (Home: 11-0; Away: 5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.9 (48th in nation) 37.1 (fifth) 37.2 (14th) 26.8 (10th) 17.1 (20th) 10.0 (47th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Duke vs. NC State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

NC State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • NC State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .462 (6-7-0). Away, it is .000 (0-4-0).
  • In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Wolfpack’s games have finished above the over/under at home (30.8%, four of 13) compared to on the road (50%, two of four).
  • The Wolfpack’s winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .000, both at home (0-3) and away (0-2).

Recent trends

  • Over their last 10 games, the Wolfpack are posting 66.3 points per contest, 4.4 fewer points than their season average (70.7).
  • NC State is allowing 67.6 points per game in its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 67.1 points allowed.
  • The Wolfpack are draining 5.7 threes per game over their previous 10 games, the same number as their average for the season. Meanwhile, they have a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (30.3%) compared to their season average (30.5%).

NC State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 6-13-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 0-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 6-13-0 (Home: 4-9-0; Away: 2-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-3 (Home: 9-1; Away: 0-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-7 (Home: 0-3; Away: 0-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.3 (218th in nation) 44.1 (220th) 29.9 (313th) 32.8 (268th) 12.4 (280th) 9.1 (eighth)
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