The ACC championship will be decided Saturday as the No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils (30-3, 19-1 ACC) play the No. 2 Louisville Cardinals (27-6, 18-2 ACC) at 8:30 p.m. ET, live on ESPN. Duke is listed as a 6.5-point favorite to win the contest and claim the conference title and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under in the matchup is set at 147.5.
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Duke Cover -6.5 vs Louisville -110
Duke vs. Louisville betting lines
- Duke moneyline odds to win: -258
- Louisville moneyline odds to win: +209
- Spread: Duke (-6.5)
- Total: 147.5
Duke statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Blue Devils have increased their output slightly over their last 10 games, scoring 89.8 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 83 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
- Duke’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has given up 65.1 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 61.9 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
- During their last 10 outings, the Blue Devils are making 0.1 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (10.2 compared to 10.1 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (38.5% compared to 37.8% season-long).
Duke betting records this season
- ATS Record: 21-12-0 (Home: 11-6-0; Away: 9-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 19-10-0 (As Favorite: 20-12-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
- O-U-P: 17-16-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 5-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 29-3 (Home: 17-0; Away: 9-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.9 (16th in nation) | 38.7 (seventh) | 36.1 (17th) | 26.8 (10th) | 16.9 (15th) | 9.2 (15th) |
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Louisville statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Cardinals are posting 79.7 points per contest in their last 10 games, which is 0.6 more than their average for the season (79.1).
- While Louisville is surrendering 68.8 points per game in 2024-25, it has improved that mark over its last 10 games, allowing 68.1 points per contest.
- The Cardinals are draining 8.7 three-pointers per contest in their last 10 games, which is 0.8 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (9.5). That said, they sport a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (36.6%) compared to their season average from three-point land (33.2%).
Louisville betting records this season
- ATS Record: 20-13-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 9-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 15-12-0; As Underdog: 5-1-0)
- O-U-P: 12-21-0 (Home: 5-12-0; Away: 5-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 22-4 (Home: 14-2; Away: 6-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 3-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.6 (128th in nation) | 42.4 (93rd) | 34.9 (37th) | 30.1 (105th) | 14.1 (136th) | 11 (162nd) |
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