Cincinnati vs. Dayton betting: College basketball preview for Nov. 11

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Cincinnati Bearcats (2-0) are favored by 5.5 points against the Dayton Flyers (2-0) on Tuesday, November 11, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 148.5 points.

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Cincinnati Cover -5.5 vs Dayton -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Cincinnati vs. Dayton betting lines

  • Cincinnati moneyline odds to win: -273
  • Dayton moneyline odds to win: +220
  • Spread: Cincinnati (-5.5)
  • Total: 148.5

Cincinnati statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Cincinnati did a better job covering the spread in road games (6-6-1) than it did at home (7-10-0) last season.
  • The Bearcats went over the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (35.3%) than road tilts (30.8%) last season.
  • As a moneyline favorite, Cincinnati won a higher percentage of its games when playing at home (.800) compared to road games (.500) last season.

Last season stats

  • The Bearcats scored 71.2 points per game and allowed 66.2 last year, making them 255th in college basketball on offense and 33rd defensively.
  • On the glass, Cincinnati was 179th in college basketball in rebounds (32.0 per game) last season. It was 94th in rebounds conceded (29.9 per game).
  • Last season the Bearcats were ranked 148th in the nation in assists with 13.9 per game.

Cincinnati betting records last season

  • ATS Record: 16-18-1 (Home: 7-10-0; Away: 6-6-1)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 9-8-0 (As Favorite: 13-12-0; As Underdog: 3-6-1)
  • O-U-P: 12-23-0 (Home: 6-11-0; Away: 4-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-7 (Home: 12-3; Away: 3-3)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-9 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.9 (162nd in nation) 43.1 (128th) 32.0 (179th) 29.9 (94th) 13.9 (148th) 9.7 (45th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Cincinnati vs. Dayton? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Dayton statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Dayton’s winning percentage against the spread at home was .412 (7-10-0) last year. Away, it was .556 (5-4-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Flyers games went over 11 of 17 times at home (64.7%) and six of nine away (66.7%) last season.
  • The Flyers’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs was .500 (1-1) last year, and on the road it was 1.000 (2-0).

Last season stats

  • The Flyers posted 75.4 points per game (134th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while allowing 70.8 points per contest (140th-ranked).
  • Dayton averaged 30.9 rebounds per game (239th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while allowing 30.1 rebounds per contest (104th-ranked).
  • The Flyers ranked 69th in the country with 15.2 assists per game.

Dayton betting records last season

  • ATS Record: 15-16-0 (Home: 7-10-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 4-0-0 (As Favorite: 10-14-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 20-11-0 (Home: 11-6-0; Away: 6-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-6 (Home: 14-1; Away: 3-4)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-4 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.8 (112th in nation) 43.8 (176th) 30.9 (239th) 30.1 (104th) 15.2 (69th) 10.0 (71st)
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