NFL action for Week 12 includes the Chicago Bears and Caleb Williams facing the Pittsburgh Steelers at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. Let’s take a look at Williams’ prop bets available for this matchup, and break down his stats and trends to figure out the best value picks.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Caleb Williams to go over 219.5 yards
Caleb Williams Prop Lines
- Matchup: Chicago Bears vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: November 23, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 219.5 (-113)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 22.5 (-111)
Caleb Williams Stats and Trends
- Williams has thrown for 2,329 yards (232.9 per game), completing 59.7% of his passes, with 13 TDs and four INTs.
- Sunday’s over/under for Williams is 219.5 passing yards. That’s 13.4 fewer yards than his 232.9 average for the season.
- In 10 games this season, Williams has surpassed 219.5 passing yards five times.
- His 232.9 passing yards per game are 9.3 higher than his average prop bet of 223.6 yards.
- This year, Williams has gone over his passing yards total five times (50.0%).
- He has tossed a touchdown pass in seven of 10 games this season, with more than one TD throw three times.
- Williams has also contributed via the running game, with 272 yards (27.2 per game) on 52 attempts and three TDs.
Recent Performances vs. the Steelers
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jets | 212 | 1 |
| 2 | Seahawks | 278 | 2 |
| 3 | Patriots | 250 | 2 |
| 4 | Vikings | 302 | 2 |
| 6 | Browns | 183 | 0 |
| 7 | Bengals | 328 | 3 |
| 8 | Packers | 360 | 3 |
| 9 | Colts | 313 | 1 |
| 10 | Chargers | 199 | 1 |
| 11 | Bengals | 192 | 1 |
Bears Home Splits
- The Bears put up 26.3 points per game at home (0.5 more than their overall average), and give up 18.8 at home (7.6 less than overall).
- At home, the Bears accumulate 369.8 yards per game and concede 333.5. That’s less than they gain (373.8) and allow (364.6) overall.
- The Bears’ average passing yards gained (220) and allowed (220) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 227.2 and 231.3, respectively.
- The Bears’ average yards rushing at home (149.8) is higher than their overall average (146.6). And their average yards allowed at home (113.5) is lower than overall (133.3).
- The Bears convert 34.7% of third downs at home (6.3% lower than their overall average), and concede 29.8% at home (3.9% lower than overall).
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