Cal Poly vs. UC Davis betting: Big West Tournament preview for March 12

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 7 seed Cal Poly Mustangs (14-18, 8-12 Big West) are 1.5-point favorites in the Big West Tournament over the No. 6 seed UC Davis Aggies (15-16, 9-11 Big West) on Wednesday at Lee’s Family Forum. The matchup starts at 11:30 p.m. ET and airs on ESPN+, with both teams hoping to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup’s point total is 150.5.

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Spread

Cal Poly Cover -1.5 vs UC Davis -107

Bet $20, Payout $38.69

Cal Poly vs. UC Davis betting lines

  • Cal Poly moneyline odds to win: -121
  • UC Davis moneyline odds to win: +101
  • Spread: Cal Poly (-1.5)
  • Total: 150.5

Cal Poly statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Mustangs’ offense has been better over their last 10 games, putting up 86.1 points per contest compared to the 81.7 they’ve averaged this season.
  • Cal Poly has been tougher on the defensive side of the ball lately, giving up 79.4 points per game over its past 10 contests compared to the 82.7 points per game its opponents average over the 2024-25 season.
  • The Mustangs are trending up from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 13.0 threes per game and shooting 37.6% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 11.3 makes and 35.2% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Cal Poly betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-15-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 8-9-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 5-4-0 (As Favorite: 5-4-0; As Underdog: 10-11-0)
  • O-U-P: 18-12-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 12-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-2 (Home: 5-1; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-15 (Home: 3-4; Away: 3-11)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.9 (115th in nation) 45.5 (271st) 31.3 (215th) 34.8 (345th) 14.8 (93rd) 15.7 (363rd)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Cal Poly vs. UC Davis? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

UC Davis statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • Over their previous 10 games, the Aggies are averaging 65.3 points per game, 2.4 fewer points than their season average (67.7).
  • UC Davis is ceding 71.6 points per contest over its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 69.8 points allowed.
  • The Aggies are draining 7.1 treys per contest over their last 10 games, which is 0.8 more than their average for the season (6.3). Likewise, they sport a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (35.3%) compared to their season average from three-point land (32.4%).

UC Davis betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-13-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 9-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 8-7-0 (As Favorite: 7-5-0; As Underdog: 8-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-16-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 7-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-3 (Home: 5-3; Away: 4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-12 (Home: 1-3; Away: 3-9)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.0 (343rd in nation) 42.5 (100th) 29.9 (304th) 33.0 (291st) 10.8 (345th) 12.6 (310th)
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