NFL play for Week 9 includes the Houston Texans and C.J. Stroud facing off against the Denver Broncos at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. In this piece we’ll dig into the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Stroud’s contest.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
C.J. Stroud to go over 226.5 yards
C.J. Stroud Prop Lines
- Matchup: Houston Texans vs. Denver Broncos
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: November 2, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 226.5 (-112)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 15.5 (-112)
C.J. Stroud Stats and Trends
- Stroud has thrown for 1,623 yards (231.9 per game), completing 66.8% of his passes, with 11 TDs and five INTs.
- Stroud is throwing for 231.9 yards per game, which is 5.4 higher than his over/under on Sunday.
- In four games this year, Stroud has passed for more than 226.5 yards.
- He has passed for more than his season prop average of 223.9 yards (by 8.0 yards per game).
- So far this season, Stroud has topped his passing yards prop total in four of seven opportunities.
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in six of seven games (including multiple TDs three times).
- In addition Stroud has 177 yards on the ground (25.3 per game), on 27 carries.
Recent Performances vs. the Broncos
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Titans | 62 | 0 |
| 2 | Colts | 306 | 1 |
| 3 | Chargers | 270 | 1 |
| 4 | Bengals | 106 | 0 |
| 5 | Eagles | 257 | 2 |
| 6 | Jets | -10 | 0 |
| 7 | Giants | 268 | 3 |
| 8 | Cowboys | 231 | 1 |
Texans Home Splits
- In home games, the Texans score 23.7 points per game and give up 11.7. That’s more than they score overall (21.9), but less than they allow (14.7).
- The Texans accumulate 364.7 yards per game at home (36 more than their overall average), and give up 252.7 at home (14.2 less than overall).
- In home games, the Texans rack up 241.3 passing yards per game and give up 153. That’s more than they gain overall (215.3), and less than they allow (178.4).
- At home, the Texans rack up 123.3 rushing yards per game and concede 99.7. That’s more than they gain (113.4) and allow (88.4) overall.
- The Texans’ offensive third-down percentage (42.5%) and defensive third-down percentage (32.4%) at home are both higher than their overall averages of 35.2% and 32.1%, respectively.
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