The Buffalo Bills won 13 games last season, and their over/under for 2025 (11.5 wins) indicates a small amount of regression could be on the horizon.
Here’s everything you need to place your NFL futures bets on this upcoming season.
Betting Odds
Bet $20, Payout $30.81
Buffalo Bills to win Over 11.5 games
Bills Projected Wins This Season
- Buffalo is projected to win all 17 of its games this year, based on our prediction formula.
- Buffalo had more wins last season than 12 teams they will take on this year.
- When looking at odds to win the Super Bowl, Buffalo (+700) has more favorable odds than 15 of its scheduled opponents this year.
- According to the moneyline, Buffalo’s implied probability is 64.9% to finish above its regular season over/under of 11.5 wins.
- At +700 to win the Super Bowl, Buffalo has a 12.5% chance of winning it all in 2025.
Bills Strength of Schedule
- The Bills will face the 23rd-ranked schedule this season (based on their opponents’ combined win total from last year).
- The Bills will face the 16th-ranked schedule in the NFL, based on our predictions.
- Based on the projected win total of its opponents this year (131), Buffalo has the good fortune of facing the fifth-easiest schedule in the NFL.
- The Bills will get the benefit of the third-easiest divisional schedule in the NFL, based on their AFC East opponents’ combined win total last season (34).
- Buffalo will have the luxury of facing the fifth-easiest divisional schedule in the league, based on the projected win total of AFC East opponents this season (32).
- The Bills will suit up for seven games in 2025 against teams that finished over .500 in 2024 (three of those teams won 12 or more games and seven of them notched five or fewer wins).
Bills Last Season Betting Stats
- The Bills went 11-2 in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 84.6% of those games).
- Buffalo covered 10 times in 17 matchups with a spread last season.
- The Bills won two of the four games they played as underdogs last season.
- A total of 12 opponents on Buffalo’s schedule this season won fewer games than the Bills last year.
Bills Changes This Offseason
New Players
| Name | Position | 2024 GP | Former Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Palmer | WR | 15 | Chargers |
| Elijah Moore | WR | 17 | Browns |
| Gabe Davis | WR | 10 | Jaguars |
| Matt Prater | K | 4 | Cardinals |
| Kristian Wilkerson | WR | 1 | Raiders |
| Shaq Thompson | OLB | 4 | Panthers |
| Dane Jackson | CB | 7 | Panthers |
| Sam Franklin Jr. | SAF | 8 | Panthers |
| Tre’Davious White | CB | 10 | Ravens |
| Joey Bosa | DE | 12 | Chargers |
| Larry Ogunjobi | DT | 15 | Steelers |
| Jordan Poyer | SAF | 15 | Dolphins |
| Michael Hoecht | DE | 16 | Rams |
Departing Players
| Name | Position | 2024 GP | New Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Hollins | WR | 17 | Patriots |
| Quintin Morris | TE | 10 | Jaguars |
| Edefuan Ulofoshio | LB | 2 | Browns |
| Kaiir Elam | CB | 7 | Cowboys |
| Dawuane Smoot | DE | 9 | Jaguars |
| Von Miller | LB | 11 | Commanders |
| Austin Johnson | DT | 12 | Jaguars |
| Rasul Douglas | CB | 15 | Dolphins |
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BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
