Bowling Green vs. Ball State betting: College basketball preview for March 1

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Bowling Green Falcons (12-16, 6-9 MAC) host the Ball State Cardinals (14-14, 7-8 MAC) in a matchup of MAC teams at Stroh Center, starting at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 1, 2025. The Falcons are 2.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup’s point total is set at 147.5.

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Bowling Green Cover -2.5 vs Ball State -107

Bet $20, Payout $38.69

Bowling Green vs. Ball State betting lines

  • Bowling Green moneyline odds to win: -133
  • Ball State moneyline odds to win: +110
  • Spread: Bowling Green (-2.5)
  • Total: 147.5

Bowling Green statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Bowling Green has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered five times in 12 games when playing at home, and it has covered six times in 12 games when playing on the road.
  • The Falcons have eclipsed the over/under less often at home, hitting the over in six of 12 home matchups (50%). In road games, they have hit the over in seven of 12 games (58.3%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Bowling Green has won five of six games when playing at home, good for a .833 winning percentage. It has won one of two games away from home (.500) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Falcons have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 71.2 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 74.6 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
  • Bowling Green has been tougher on defense as of late, allowing 74.3 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 74.9 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2024-25 season.
  • The Falcons are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 7.9 threes per game and shooting 33.8% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 8.3 makes and 34.5% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Bowling Green betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-14-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 6-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-3-0; As Underdog: 7-11-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-13-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 7-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-2 (Home: 5-1; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-14 (Home: 0-6; Away: 3-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.9 (233rd in nation) 45.4 (267th) 30.4 (278th) 31.8 (223rd) 11.4 (329th) 11.3 (187th)

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Ball State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Ball State has been better against the spread away (7-4-0) than at home (4-9-0) this year.
  • Looking at the over/under, Cardinals games have finished over eight of 13 times at home (61.5%), and seven of 11 away (63.6%).
  • The Cardinals’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .000 (0-2), and on the road it is .250 (2-6).

Recent trends

  • The Cardinals have played better offensively over their last 10 games, generating 77.9 points per contest, 1.1 more than their season average of 76.8.
  • Ball State is giving up 77 points per contest over its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 74.7 points allowed.
  • The Cardinals are making 0.2 fewer threes per contest over their last 10 games (7.1) compared to their season average (7.3), but they are delivering a better three-point percentage over their last 10 games (36.6%) compared to their season mark (35.5%).

Ball State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-14-0 (Home: 4-9-0; Away: 7-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 7-4-0 (As Favorite: 5-9-0; As Underdog: 7-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-11-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 7-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-5 (Home: 6-4; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-9 (Home: 0-2; Away: 2-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.3 (100th in nation) 44.4 (217th) 31.6 (200th) 31.1 (183rd) 13.4 (202nd) 11.3 (187th)
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