The Fresno State Bulldogs (5-23, 1-16 MWC) are heavy underdogs (+16) as they look to stop a four-game home losing streak when they square off against the Boise State Broncos (20-8, 12-5 MWC) on Saturday, March 1, 2025 at Save Mart Center. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on MW Network. The matchup has a point total of 145.5.

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Boise State vs. Fresno State betting lines

• Boise State moneyline odds to win: -2174
• Fresno State moneyline odds to win: +1090
• Spread: Boise State (-16)
• Total: 145.5

Boise State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Boise State has done a better job covering the spread at home (10-3-0) than it has in road affairs (4-5-0).
• When it comes to point totals, the Broncos hit the over less consistently when playing at home, as they’ve gone over the total seven times in 13 opportunities this season (53.8%). In road games, they have hit the over five times in nine opportunities (55.6%).
• As a moneyline favorite, Boise State has won a higher percentage of its games when playing at home (.923) compared to away games (.600).

Recent trends

• The Broncos’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, putting up 72.0 points a contest compared to the 76.3 they’ve averaged this year.
• Boise State has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball as of late, giving up 66.5 points per game during its past 10 outings compared to the 66.3 points per game its opponents average on the 2024-25 season.
• The Broncos’ 7.3 made three-pointers per-game average during their last 10 games are more than the 7.2 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a lower percentage of made shots, 31.9% compared to their season-long percentage of 32.5% from beyond the arc.

Boise State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 15-12-0 (Home: 10-3-0; Away: 4-5-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 16+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 12-10-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
• O-U-P: 14-13-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 5-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-5 (Home: 12-1; Away: 3-2)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-3)

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Fresno State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Fresno State has performed better against the spread at home (7-3-2) than on the road (5-9-0) this season.
• Bulldogs games have finished above the over/under 50% of the time at home (six of 12), and 57.1% of the time away (eight of 14).
• The Bulldogs, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-8) than on the road (1-13) this season.

Recent trends

• Over their last 10 games, the Bulldogs are scoring 68.4 points per contest, 3.0 fewer points than their season average (71.4).
• While Fresno State is giving up 81.4 points per game in 2024-25, it has bettered that mark in its previous 10 games, allowing 81.3 points per contest.
• The Bulldogs are making 6.2 treys per contest over their last 10 games, which is 0.6 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (6.8). Additionally, they own a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 games (30.5%) compared to their season average from downtown (31.6%).

Fresno State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 14-12-2 (Home: 7-3-2; Away: 5-9-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 16+: 2-4-0 (As Favorite: 2-1-1; As Underdog: 12-11-1)
• O-U-P: 15-11-2 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 8-4-2)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-0 (Home: 4-0; Away: 0-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-23 (Home: 0-8; Away: 1-13)