The Boise State Broncos (21-8, 13-5 MWC) are heavy, 15.5-point favorites as they look to extend a four-game win streak when they visit the Air Force Falcons (4-25, 1-17 MWC) on Tuesday, March 4, 2025 at Clune Arena. The game airs at 9 p.m. ET on MW Network. The matchup’s point total is set at 137.5.

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Boise State vs. Air Force betting lines

• Boise State moneyline odds to win: -1695
• Air Force moneyline odds to win: +925
• Spread: Boise State (-15.5)
• Total: 137.5

Boise State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Boise State has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered 10 times in 13 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered four times in 10 opportunities on the road.
• The Broncos have exceeded the over/under more consistently at home, hitting the over in seven of 13 home matchups (53.8%). In away games, they have hit the over in five of 10 games (50%).
• Boise State has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 12-1 (.923). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 4-2 (.667).

Recent trends

• The Broncos have seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 72.1 points per game in their last 10 outings, 3.9 points fewer than the 76.0 they’ve scored this year.
• Boise State’s defense has been tough as of late, as the team has given up 64.2 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 66.1 points per game its opponents average on the season.
• Over their past 10 outings, the Broncos are making 0.3 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.5 compared to 7.2 season-long), while shooting the same percentage from deep in that span as their season-long average (32.1%).

Boise State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 15-13-0 (Home: 10-3-0; Away: 4-6-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 15.5+: 3-4-0 (As Favorite: 12-11-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
• O-U-P: 14-14-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 5-5-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-5 (Home: 12-1; Away: 4-2)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-3)

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Air Force statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• In 2024-25 against the spread, Air Force has a lower winning percentage at home (.267, 4-11-0 record) than away (.462, 6-7-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Falcons games have finished over less frequently at home (eight of 15, 53.3%) than away (nine of 13, 69.2%).
• The Falcons’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .000, both at home (0-9) and on the road (0-13).

Recent trends

• Over their last 10 games, the Falcons are compiling 60.5 points per game, compared to their season average of 62.7.
• While Air Force is surrendering 73.2 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse over its last 10 games, allowing 78.7 points per contest.
• The Falcons are sinking 7.6 treys per game over their last 10 games, which is 0.4 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (8.0). Additionally, they have a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (31.8%) compared to their season average from downtown (33.7%).

Air Force betting records this season

• ATS Record: 11-18-0 (Home: 4-11-0; Away: 6-7-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 15.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 4-3-0; As Underdog: 7-15-0)
• O-U-P: 17-12-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 9-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-3 (Home: 3-3; Away: 0-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-22 (Home: 0-9; Away: 0-13)