The Texas Bowl will feature the Baylor Bears heading into a showdown with the LSU Tigers on Tuesday, December 31, 2024.

The Tigers are underdogs, but by less than a touchdown (+3.5), versus the Bears (with an over/under of 62.5 points).

Read on for our preview for this this game between the Bears and the Tigers, and discover all of our predictions here, too!

Baylor vs. LSU betting lines

• Spread favorite: Bears (-3.5)
• Moneyline: Bears (-168), Tigers (+142)
• Total: 62.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Fubo

Baylor vs. LSU betting info and stats

Baylor is 8-3-0 against the spread in 11 opportunities so far this season. Baylor has covered the spread three times in games it was favored by at least 3.5 points (a 3-0 ATS record). Baylor has been listed as moneyline favorites six times this season, and has put up a 5-1 record in those games. LSU has four wins against the spread this season (4-8-0). When LSU is an underdog by 3.5 points or more, it is 1-0 ATS. In the three games this year, LSU has been the moneyline underdog, it is 1-2.

Baylor vs. LSU recent stats and trends

Baylor Bears

• Baylor has covered the spread in each of its last three matchups while going 3-0 overall.
• The final combined score of the past three Baylor games has surpassed the set total two times.
• Baylor’s past three outings have ended with an average of 57.2 points scored. That’s 5.3 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.

LSU Tigers

• LSU has covered the spread once in its last three matchups while putting up a 3-0 record straight-up in those games.
• In one of those three games, the final combined score exceeded the set total.
• The past three LSU games averaged 10.0 fewer points (52.5) than this matchup’s over/under.

Baylor vs. LSU key players

Baylor Bears

• Sawyer Robertson has racked up 2,626 yards (218.8 ypg) on 199-of-317 passing with 26 touchdowns compared to seven interceptions this season. In addition, he’s added 227 rushing yards (18.9 ypg) on 59 carries while scoring four touchdowns on the ground.
• Bryson Washington has 1,004 rushing yards on 170 carries with 12 touchdowns. He’s also tacked on 22 catches for 217 yards (19.7 per game) and one touchdown via the passing game.
• Dawson Pendergrass has carried the ball 100 times for 608 yards (50.7 per game) and four touchdowns.
• Josh Cameron’s 643 yards as a receiver lead the team. He’s been targeted 69 times and has registered 44 receptions and nine touchdowns.
• Ashtyn Hawkins has caught 41 passes for 512 yards (42.7 yards per game) and four touchdowns this year.
• Monaray Baldwin has hauled in 23 receptions for 399 yards, an average of 33.3 yards per game. He’s scored five times as a receiver this season.
• Matt Jones paces the team with 4.0 sacks, and also has 9.0 TFL and 89 tackles.
• Baylor’s top-tackler, Keaton Thomas, has 90 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception this year.
• Corey Gordon Jr. leads the team with three interceptions, while also putting up 28 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three passes defended.

LSU Tigers

• Garrett Nussmeier has compiled 3,735 yards (311.3 ypg) while completing 63.7% of his passes and tossing 26 touchdown passes with 11 interceptions this season.
• The team’s top rusher, Caden Durham, has carried the ball 125 times for 694 yards (57.8 per game) with six touchdowns. He’s also caught 27 passes for 257 yards and two touchdowns.
• Josh Williams has compiled 440 yards on 108 carries with five touchdowns, while also catching 29 passes for 249 yards.
• Kyren Lacy paces his squad with 866 receiving yards on 58 receptions with nine touchdowns.
• Aaron Anderson has 53 receptions (on 76 targets) for a total of 784 yards (65.3 yards per game) and five touchdowns this year.
• Mason Taylor has racked up 546 reciving yards (45.5 ypg) and two touchdowns this season.
• Bradyn Swinson leads the team with 8.5 sacks, and also has 9.0 TFL and 43 tackles.
• Whit Weeks is the team’s leading tackler this year. He’s racked up 64 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and one interception.
• Zy Alexander has picked off a team-high two passes. He also has 20 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended to his name.