The TCU Horned Frogs (9-7, 2-3 Big 12) visit the No. 25 Baylor Bears (11-5, 3-2 Big 12) after losing five straight road games. The Bears are heavy favorites by 12.5 points in the contest, which starts at 5:00 PM ET on Sunday, January 19, 2025. The point total is 136.5 for the matchup.
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Baylor Cover -12.5 vs TCU -110
Baylor vs. TCU betting lines
- Baylor moneyline odds to win: -990
- TCU moneyline odds to win: +642
- Spread: Baylor (-12.5)
- Total: 136.5
Baylor statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Baylor has played better at home, covering five times in seven home games, and zero times in four road games.
- When it comes to over/unders, the Bears hit the over more often in home games, as they’ve eclipsed the total five times in seven opportunities this season (71.4%). In road games, they have hit the over two times in four opportunities (50%).
- In seven home games as a moneyline favorite, Baylor has seven wins (1.000). It owns the same winning percentage (1-0 record) as a moneyline favorite away from home.
Recent trends
- The Bears have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 79.8 points per game in their last 10 contests, 1.6 points fewer than the 81.4 they’ve scored this year.
- Baylor has been tougher on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 64 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 68.2 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2024-25 season.
- Over their last 10 contests, the Bears are making 0.5 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.6 compared to 9.1 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (35.7% compared to 36.4% season-long).
Baylor betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-8-1 (Home: 5-2-0; Away: 0-3-1)
- ATS Record When Favored by 12.5+: 3-2-0 (As Favorite: 6-3-1; As Underdog: 0-5-0)
- O-U-P: 9-6-0 (Home: 5-2-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-0 (Home: 7-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-5 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 (82nd in nation) | 43 (155th) | 35.4 (51st) | 29.4 (85th) | 16.2 (51st) | 10.9 (122nd) |
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TCU statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- TCU’s winning percentage against the spread at home was .562 (9-7-0) last season. On the road, it was .636 (7-4-0).
- Horned Frogs games went above the over/under less frequently at home (seven times out of 16) than on the road (eight of 11) last year.
- Last season the Horned Frogs were 1-0 at home when moneyline underdogs (1.000 winning percentage). On the road they were 2-5 (.286).
Recent trends
- Over their last 10 games, the Horned Frogs are scoring 68.8 points per game, compared to their season average of 70.2.
- In its last 10 games, TCU is surrendering 68.5 points per contest, 2.3 more points than its season average (66.2).
- The Horned Frogs are draining 7.2 three-pointers per contest with a 34.4% three-point percentage over their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 7.1 and 33.2%.
TCU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 5-11-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 1-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 12.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 3-8-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
- O-U-P: 6-10-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 1-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-3 (Home: 7-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 1-0; Away: 0-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.8 (287th in nation) | 42.6 (133rd) | 31.7 (235th) | 31.3 (188th) | 13.3 (221st) | 10.1 (50th) |
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