The Arkansas State Red Wolves (19-7, 10-3 Sun Belt) are 6.5-point favorites as they attempt to build on an eight-game home winning streak when they square off against the Troy Trojans (16-9, 9-4 Sun Belt) on Saturday, February 15, 2025 at First National Bank Arena. The matchup airs at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN2. The matchup has an over/under of 144.5 points.

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Arkansas State vs. Troy betting lines

• Arkansas State moneyline odds to win: -278
• Troy moneyline odds to win: +223
• Spread: Arkansas State (-6.5)
• Total: 144.5

Arkansas State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Arkansas State has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered eight times in 11 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered seven times in 11 opportunities in away games.
• In home games, the Red Wolves exceed the over/under 36.4% of the time (four of 11 games). They hit the over more consistently on the road, going over the total in 45.5% of games (five of 11).
• Arkansas State has played better as a moneyline favorite in home games, posting a home record of 11-0, compared to going 3-2 in away games.

Recent trends

• On offense, the Red Wolves have increased their production slightly over their last 10 games, scoring 81.1 points per contest over that span compared to the 79.3 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
• Arkansas State has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 68.2 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 69.8 it has conceded per game this year.
• While the Red Wolves are knocking down fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (9.0 per game) when compared to their season-long average (9.2), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (34.2% from deep over the last 10, 32.5% on the season).

Arkansas State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 15-9-1 (Home: 8-3-0; Away: 7-3-1)
• ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 10-4-0 (As Favorite: 11-8-0; As Underdog: 4-1-1)
• O-U-P: 11-14-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 5-6-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-4 (Home: 11-0; Away: 3-2)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-3)

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Troy statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Troy’s winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .583. It is 7-5-0 ATS on its home court and 7-4-1 on the road.
• Trojans games have finished above the over/under 66.7% of the time at home (eight of 12), and 8.3% of the time away (one of 12).

Recent trends

• The Trojans have performed worse offensively in their past 10 games, averaging 71.8 points per contest, 1.1 fewer points their than season average of 72.9.
• Troy is giving up 63.5 points per contest over its previous 10 games, which is 1.5 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (65.0).
• The Trojans are draining 9.2 three-pointers per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 1.5 more than their average for the season (7.7). Likewise, they own a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 games (31.7%) compared to their season average from downtown (30.0%).

Troy betting records this season

• ATS Record: 14-9-1 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 7-4-1)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 12-6-1; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
• O-U-P: 9-15-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 1-11-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-4 (Home: 8-3; Away: 6-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-5 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-5)