Week 11 of the NFL season features Jaylen Warren and the Pittsburgh Steelers taking on the Cincinnati Bengals at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. In this piece, we’ll break down Warren’s stats and trends to help you pick out the best bets among his props for this outing.
Rushing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Jaylen Warren to go over 81.5 yards
Jaylen Warren Prop Lines
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: November 16, 2025
- Rushing yards prop: Over 81.5 (-111)
- Receiving yards prop: Over 16.5 (-114)
Jaylen Warren Stats and Trends
- Warren leads the team with 474 rushing yards on 113 attempts (59.3 ypg), and has two rushing TDs.
- Warren runs for 59.3 yards per game, less than Sunday’s over/under (81.5).
- This season Warren has bettered this week’s over/under for rushing yards (81.5) once.
- He has bettered his average rushing yards over/under on the season (53.5) by 5.8 yards.
- Warren has surpassed his rushing yard prop bet in four games out of eight (50.0%).
- He has posted a rushing touchdown in only one game this year, but had multiple rushing TDs in that game.
- Warren also accumulates 26.8 receiving ypg, grabbing 23 passes for 214 yards and one touchdown.
Recent Performances vs. the Bengals
| Week | Opponent | Rush Yards Allowed | Rush TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Browns | 49 | 1 |
| 2 | Jaguars | 139 | 0 |
| 3 | Vikings | 169 | 2 |
| 4 | Broncos | 186 | 2 |
| 5 | Lions | 118 | 1 |
| 6 | Packers | 153 | 2 |
| 7 | Steelers | 147 | 0 |
| 8 | Jets | 254 | 2 |
| 9 | Bears | 283 | 2 |
Steelers Home Splits
- In home games, the Steelers put up 23.2 points per game and give up 23.2. That’s less than they score (23.6) and allow (24.4) overall.
- At home, the Steelers accumulate 287 yards per game and give up 367.4. That’s more than they gain overall (280.7), but less than they allow (376).
- At home, the Steelers rack up 200.2 passing yards per game and concede 287.2. That’s more than they gain (195) and allow (269.4) overall.
- The Steelers accumulate 86.8 rushing yards per game at home (1.1 more than their overall average), and give up 80.2 at home (26.4 less than overall).
- The Steelers’ third-down percentages on offense (31.7%) and defense (38%) in home games are both lower than their overall numbers of 36% and 41.1%, respectively.
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BetDecider Team
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