Hard Rock Stadium features Week 10 action as the Buffalo Bills and Dalton Kincaid take on the Miami Dolphins at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. In this piece, we’ll break down Kincaid’s stats and trends to help you pick out the top bets among his props for this outing.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Dalton Kincaid to go over 44.5 yards
Dalton Kincaid Prop Lines
- Matchup: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: November 9, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 44.5 (-113)
Dalton Kincaid Stats and Trends
- Kincaid has posted a team-high 411-yard year so far (58.7 yards receiving per game) with four TDs, reeling in 27 throws on 33 targets.
- Kincaid averages 58.7 receiving yards, 14.2 more than his prop bet for Sunday.
- Kincaid has totaled over 44.5 receiving yards in 57.1% of his games this year (four of seven).
- He has put up 23.8 more receiving yards per game (58.7) than his average prop total (34.9).
- Kincaid has hit the over on his prop for receiving yards in five of seven games this year.
- He has four games with a touchdown catch this season, out of seven played, but only a single TD each time.
Recent Performances vs. the Dolphins
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colts | 262 | 1 |
| 2 | Patriots | 211 | 2 |
| 3 | Bills | 203 | 3 |
| 4 | Jets | 207 | 1 |
| 5 | Panthers | 179 | 2 |
| 6 | Chargers | 263 | 2 |
| 7 | Browns | 102 | 0 |
| 8 | Falcons | 168 | 0 |
| 9 | Ravens | 188 | 4 |
Bills Away Splits
- The Bills score 28 points per game in road games (1.4 fewer than overall) and allow 14.3 in away games (6.6 fewer than overall).
- On the road, the Bills accumulate fewer yards (368 per game) than they do overall (385.5). But they also concede fewer on the road (280.3) than overall (311.3).
- The Bills accumulate fewer passing yards on the road (167 per game) than they do overall (224), but they also give up fewer in away games (139 per game) than overall (169.9).
- The Bills pick up more rushing yards in away games (201 per game) than they do overall (161.5), and concede fewer on the road (141.3 per game) than overall (141.4).
- When playing on the road, the Bills successfully convert fewer third downs (40%) than they do overall (45.7%). But they also allow opponents to convert on fewer third downs in away games (26.5%) than overall (37.9%).
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BetDecider Team
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