CUSA foes match up when the Liberty Flames (4-4) and the Missouri State Bears (5-3) square off on Saturday, November 8, 2025 at Williams Stadium (VA).

The Flames are significant favorites (-7.5) in their matchup against the Bears, with the over/under being 51.5 points. (In terms of the moneyline, the Flames are -309 and the Bears are +251.)

Below you can find our betting preview for this this matchup between the Flames and the Bears, and discover all of our expert picks here, too!

Liberty vs. Missouri State betting lines

• Spread favorite: Flames (-7.5)
• Moneyline: Flames (-309), Bears (+251)
• Total: 51.5 points

Liberty vs. Missouri State betting info and stats

Liberty has an against-the-spread record of 3-5-0 so far this season. Liberty has yet to cover the spread when favorites by at least 7.5 points (a 0-2 ATS record). Liberty has put up a 4-2 record in the six games this season it has been favored on the moneyline. Missouri State has five wins against the spread this season (5-3-0). When Missouri State is an underdog of 7.5 or more points, it is 2-1 ATS. Missouri State has been moneyline underdogs four times this year, going 1-3 in those games.

Liberty vs. Missouri State recent stats and trends

Liberty Flames

• Liberty is 2-1 against the spread over its past three games, and has a 3-0 straight-up record in those matchups.
• The final combined score of the past three Liberty games has exceeded the set total two times.
• The last three Liberty games averaged 48.8 total points, 2.7 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.

Missouri State Bears

• Missouri State is 2-1 against the spread and 3-0 overall over its last three contests.
• The final combined score of each of the past three Missouri State games did not go over the set point total.
• The past three Missouri State games averaged 1.0 fewer point (50.5) than this matchup’s over/under.

Liberty vs. Missouri State key players

Liberty Flames

• Ethan Vasko has 1,406 yards passing for Liberty, completing 60.3% of his passes and throwing eight touchdowns and five interceptions this season. He’s also helped out on the ground with 223 rushing yards (31.9 ypg) on 78 carries with four rushing touchdowns.
• Evan Dickens has racked up 611 yards on 100 carries while finding paydirt eight times as a runner.
• This season, Caden Williams has carried the ball 57 times for 250 yards (35.7 per game).
• Donte Lee Jr. has hauled in 23 receptions for 436 yards (54.5 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. He’s found the end zone four times as a receiver.
• Julian Gray has caught 18 passes while averaging 27.3 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.
• Jamari Person has been the target of 29 passes and hauled in 18 receptions for 218 yards, an average of 27.3 yards per contest.
• Elijah Hall paces the team with 3.0 sacks, and also has 3.0 TFL and four tackles.
• Joseph Carter is the team’s leading tackler this year. He’s racked up 32 tackles and 1.0 TFL.
• Amarian Williams leads the team with two interceptions, while also collecting 10 tackles and two passes defended.

Missouri State Bears

• Jacob Clark leads Missouri State with 1,641 yards on 132-of-206 passing with 13 touchdowns compared to eight interceptions this season.
• Shomari Lawrence has run for 550 yards on 112 carries so far this year while scoring four times on the ground.
• Ramone Green Jr. has 321 receiving yards (40.1 ypg) on 20 catches and two touchdowns while collecting 174 rushing yards on 31 carries.
• Dash Luke paces his team with 339 receiving yards on 25 catches with two touchdowns.
• Ronnel Johnson has caught 24 passes and compiled 329 receiving yards (41.1 per game) with two touchdowns.
• Mitchell Toney has collected 2.5 sacks to pace the team, while also recording 3.0 TFL and 18 tackles.
• Jalen Brooks, Missouri State’s tackle leader, has 38 tackles and 1.0 TFL this year.
• Jordan Dunbar leads the team with one interception, while also collecting seven tackles and one pass defended.