The Atlanta Falcons, led by Bijan Robinson, will take on the Buffalo Bills at 7:15 p.m. ET on Monday for a Week 6 NFL contest. Below we dig into Robinson’s stats and trends in relation to prop bets, helping you come up with good predictions for this contest.
Rushing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.39
Bijan Robinson to go over 73.5 yards
Bijan Robinson Prop Lines
- Matchup: Atlanta Falcons vs. Buffalo Bills
- Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Date: October 13, 2025
- Rushing yards prop: Over 73.5 (-115)
- Receiving yards prop: Over 31.5 (-114)
Bijan Robinson Stats and Trends
- Robinson has a team-best 314 yards on the ground after 64 carries (78.5 ypg). He has scored one rushing TD.
- Robinson runs for 78.5 yards per game, which is better than Monday’s over/under of 73.5.
- Robinson has gained more than 73.5 yards on the ground two times this season.
- He has had an average rushing yards prop bet of 76.8 this season, which he has bettered on average by 1.7 yards.
- Robinson has topped his rushing yards over/under once in four games.
- He has one rushing TD this season.
- Robinson is also the Falcons’ most prolific receiver, with 18 catches for 270 yards (67.5 ypg) and one receiving touchdown.
Recent Performances vs. the Bills
| Week | Opponent | Rush Yards Allowed | Rush TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravens | 238 | 3 |
| 2 | Jets | 100 | 0 |
| 3 | Dolphins | 130 | 1 |
| 4 | Saints | 189 | 1 |
| 5 | Patriots | 71 | 2 |
Falcons Home Splits
- The Falcons’ average points scored (27) and conceded (25) at home are both higher than their overall averages of 19 and 21.5, respectively.
- The Falcons’ average yards gained (396.5) and allowed (277) at home are both higher than their overall averages of 362.8 and 244, respectively.
- The Falcons accumulate 298 passing yards per game at home (71.7 more than their overall average), and give up 153 at home (18 more than overall).
- The Falcons accumulate 98.5 rushing yards per game at home (38 less than their overall average), and give up 124 at home (15 more than overall).
- The Falcons convert 44.4% of third downs in home games (2.6% higher than their overall average), and give up 36.4% at home (2.3% higher than overall).
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