The Boise State Broncos (3-2) and the New Mexico Lobos (3-2) square off on Saturday, October 11, 2025 at Albertsons Stadium in a clash of MWC foes.

The Broncos are expected to come out on top by at least two touchdowns (currently -16.5) against the Lobos. The over/under for this game is 58.5 points.

Below you’ll find our betting preview for this this matchup between the Broncos and the Lobos, and find all of our betting picks here, too!

Boise State vs. New Mexico betting lines

• Spread favorite: Broncos (-16.5)
• Moneyline: Broncos (-725), Lobos (+514)
• Total: 58.5 points
• TV Channel: FOX Sports 1
• Live Stream: Fubo

Boise State vs. New Mexico betting info and stats

Boise State is 4-1-0 against the spread through five opportunities this season. In two games played when favored by at least 16.5 points, Boise State is undefeated ATS at 2-0. Boise State has been favored on the moneyline four times this season, and sports a 3-1 record in those games. New Mexico, through five games with a set spread this season, has gone 3-2-0 against the spread. In the one game New Mexico has been an underdog by at least 16.5 points this season, it has covered the spread. New Mexico’s record in games it’ve played as the underdog this year is 1-2.

Boise State vs. New Mexico recent stats and trends

Boise State Broncos

• Boise State has covered the spread in each of its last three contests while going 2-1 overall.
• Two times in those three games, the final combined score has exceeded the set total.
• Boise State’s past three games have ended with an average of 58.2 points scored. That’s 0.3 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.

New Mexico Lobos

• New Mexico is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall in its past three games.
• New Mexico and its opponents have hit the over two times in those games.
• The past three New Mexico games averaged 3.5 fewer points (55.0) than this matchup’s point total.

Boise State vs. New Mexico key players

Boise State Broncos

• Maddux Madsen has recorded 1,344 yards (268.8 ypg) on 101-of-168 passing with nine touchdowns compared to five interceptions this season. In addition, he’s added 57 rushing yards (11.4 ypg) on 30 carries while scoring two touchdowns on the ground.
• The team’s top rusher, Dylan Riley, has carried the ball 53 times for 393 yards (78.6 per game), scoring five times. He’s also caught six passes for 100 yards and one touchdown.
• This season, Sire Gaines has carried the ball 49 times for 284 yards (56.8 per game) and one touchdown.
• LaTrell Caples’ leads his squad with 292 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 21 receptions (out of 38 targets) and scored two touchdowns.
• Chris Marshall has caught 14 passes for 274 yards (54.8 yards per game) and one touchdown this year.
• Ben Ford has a total of 221 receiving yards so far this year, grabbing 14 throws and scoring three touchdowns.
• Braxton Fely leads the team with 3.5 sacks, and also has 2.0 TFL and 12 tackles.
• Boise State’s top-tackler, Ty Benefield, has 37 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one interception this year.
• Treyvon Tolmaire has picked off a team-leading one pass. He also has one pass defended to his name.

New Mexico Lobos

• Jack Layne has racked up 1,162 yards on 69.5% passing while recording seven touchdown passes with six interceptions this season.
• The team’s top rusher, Damon Bankston, has carried the ball 43 times for 289 yards (57.8 per game) with three touchdowns. He’s also caught 12 passes for 148 yards and one touchdown.
• Scottre Humphrey has collected 273 yards (on 53 attempts) with four touchdowns.
• Keagan Johnson has totaled 26 receptions this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 326 (81.5 yards per game). He’s been targeted 34 times and has one touchdown.
• Dorian Thomas has 28 receptions (on 43 targets) for a total of 287 yards (57.4 yards per game) and three touchdowns this year.
• Shawn Miller’s nine receptions (on 12 targets) have netted him 160 yards (40.0 ypg) and one touchdown.
• Keyshawn James-Newby has racked up 2.5 sacks to pace the team, while also recording 3.0 TFL and 18 tackles.
• New Mexico’s leading tackler, Jaxton Eck, has 36 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack this year.
• David Murphy has picked off a team-leading one pass. He also has 14 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one pass defended to his name.