Hard Rock Stadium features Week 2 action as the Miami Dolphins and Tyreek Hill face off against the New England Patriots at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. Let’s take a look at Hill’s prop bets available for this matchup, and dig into his stats and trends to figure out the best value picks.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Tyreek Hill to go over 64.5 yards
Tyreek Hill Prop Lines
- Matchup: Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: September 14, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 64.5 (-113)
Tyreek Hill Stats and Trends
- Last season, Hill drew 123 targets, catching 81 passes for 959 yards (56.4 yards per game) while scoring six touchdowns.
- Hill racked up 56.4 receiving yards per game last season That’s 8.1 fewer yards than the over/under of 64.5 set for Sunday’s matchup.
- In 41.2% of his games last season (seven out of 17), Hill topped 64.5 receiving yards.
- His average prop bet for receiving yards a season ago was 66.8 yards per game. Compared to that average, he racked up 10.4 fewer yards per game.
- Last season, Hill hit the over on his prop bets for receiving yards in six of 17 games (35.3%).
- He scored a receiving touchdown six times last season (out of 17 games played). He did not have multiple TD catches in any of those games.
Last Season Performances vs. the Patriots
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bengals | 154 | 0 |
| 2 | Seahawks | 312 | 1 |
| 3 | Jets | 267 | 2 |
| 4 | 49ers | 283 | 1 |
| 5 | Dolphins | 179 | 0 |
| 6 | Texans | 176 | 3 |
| 7 | Jaguars | 193 | 1 |
| 8 | Jets | 224 | 2 |
| 9 | Titans | 233 | 2 |
| 10 | Bears | 69 | 0 |
| 11 | Rams | 295 | 4 |
| 12 | Dolphins | 308 | 4 |
| 13 | Colts | 109 | 2 |
| 15 | Cardinals | 232 | 0 |
| 16 | Bills | 152 | 1 |
| 17 | Chargers | 281 | 3 |
| 18 | Bills | 129 | 1 |
Dolphins Home Splits (Last Season)
- The Dolphins scored 24.8 points per game at home (4.5 more than their overall average), and conceded 23.0 at home (1.6 more than overall).
- The Dolphins’ average yards gained (349.3) and conceded (315.0) at home were both higher than their overall averages of 325.4 and 314.4, respectively.
- The Dolphins accumulated 245.1 passing yards per game in home games (25.3 more than their overall average), and gave up 218.8 at home (8.1 more than overall).
- The Dolphins’ averages of rushing yards gained (104.1) and allowed (96.3) at home were both lower than their overall averages of 105.6 and 103.7, respectively.
- The Dolphins converted 43.7% of third downs at home (7.4% higher than their overall average), and conceded 35.1% at home (0.8% lower than overall).
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