Aaron Jones and his Minnesota Vikings teamates will match up against the Chicago Bears at 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday in Week 1 of the 2025 NFL season. In this article we break down all of Jones’ prop bets set for this matchup, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.
Rushing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Aaron Jones to go over 49.5 yards
Aaron Jones Prop Lines
- Matchup: Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Date: September 8, 2025
- Rushing yards prop: Over 49.5 (-111)
- Receiving yards prop: Over 18.5 (-113)
Aaron Jones Stats and Trends
- Jones was a force in the trenches last year, scoring five rushing TDs and picking up 66.9 yards per game. Jones was also efficient in the passing game, tallying 51 catches and two touchdowns over the course of the year.
- Monday’s rushing yards over/under for Jones is 49.5, which is 17.4 fewer yards than his average of 66.9 last year.
- On 11 occasions last season (out of 17, or 64.7%), Jones had more than 49.5 rushing yards.
- He collected 4.6 more receiving yards per game (24.0) than his average over/under last season, which was 19.4 yards per game.
- Jones hit the over on his rushing yards prop in nine games (52.9%) out of 17 last year.
- He ran for a touchdown in five games last season, but did not run for more than one in any of those games.
Last Season Performances vs. the Bears
| Week | Opponent | Rush Yards Allowed | Rush TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Titans | 140 | 1 |
| 2 | Texans | 75 | 0 |
| 3 | Colts | 150 | 3 |
| 4 | Rams | 119 | 1 |
| 5 | Panthers | 120 | 1 |
| 6 | Jaguars | 68 | 0 |
| 8 | Commanders | 168 | 0 |
| 9 | Cardinals | 213 | 3 |
| 10 | Patriots | 144 | 0 |
| 11 | Packers | 106 | 2 |
| 12 | Vikings | 124 | 1 |
| 13 | Lions | 194 | 0 |
| 14 | 49ers | 131 | 3 |
| 15 | Vikings | 114 | 2 |
| 16 | Lions | 146 | 1 |
| 17 | Seahawks | 122 | 0 |
| 18 | Packers | 183 | 2 |
Vikings Away Splits (Last Season)
- The Vikings scored 22.5 points per game away from home (2.9 fewer than overall), and conceded 20.9 away from home (1.4 more than overall).
- The Vikings picked up fewer yards in road games (336.8 per game) than they did overall (346.9), but also conceded fewer in away games (335.1 per game) than overall (335.4).
- The Vikings picked up fewer passing yards in road games last season (227.9 per game) than they did overall (237.8), and gave up more (251.3 per game) than overall (242.0).
- The Vikings accumulated 108.9 rushing yards per game in away games (0.2 fewer than overall), and conceded 83.9 rushing yards away from home (9.5 fewer than overall).
- The Vikings converted 33% of third downs in away games in 2024 (7.0% less than overall), and conceded on 37.1% of third downs in away games (1.5% more than overall).
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