Week 1 of the NFL season features J.K. Dobbins and the Denver Broncos facing the Tennessee Titans at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sunday. In this piece we’ll break down the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Dobbins’ outing.
Rushing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
J.K. Dobbins to go over 38.5 yards
J.K. Dobbins Prop Lines
- Matchup: Denver Broncos vs. Tennessee Titans
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- Date: September 7, 2025
- Rushing yards prop: Over 38.5 (-112)
- Receiving yards prop: Over 9.5 (-113)
J.K. Dobbins Stats and Trends
- Dobbins took 195 carries for 905 yards rushing a year ago (69.6 per game) and scored nine TDs.
- Dobbins’ rushing yards over/under is 38.5, compared to his average of 69.6 rushing yards per game last season.
- Dobbins went over his rushing yards prop total this week (38.5) in 12 of 13 games last year.
- His average of 11.8 receiving yards per game last year was 2.2 fewer yards than his average over/under prop bet of 14 yards.
- Dobbins hit the over on the rushing yards prop set by bookmakers in six of 13 opportunities last year (46.2%).
- He scored a rushing touchdown in seven games last year, including multiple rushing TDs twice.
Last Season Performances vs. the Titans
| Week | Opponent | Rush Yards Allowed | Rush TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bears | 84 | 0 |
| 2 | Jets | 101 | 1 |
| 3 | Packers | 188 | 1 |
| 4 | Dolphins | 106 | 1 |
| 6 | Colts | 80 | 0 |
| 7 | Bills | 74 | 2 |
| 8 | Lions | 164 | 2 |
| 9 | Patriots | 110 | 1 |
| 10 | Chargers | 145 | 2 |
| 11 | Vikings | 82 | 1 |
| 12 | Texans | 40 | 0 |
| 13 | Commanders | 267 | 3 |
| 14 | Jaguars | 71 | 1 |
| 15 | Bengals | 101 | 1 |
| 16 | Colts | 335 | 4 |
| 17 | Jaguars | 122 | 0 |
| 18 | Texans | 207 | 1 |
Broncos Home Splits (Last Season)
- The Broncos’ average points scored at home (29) was higher than their overall average (25). But their average points conceded at home (14.9) was lower than overall (18.3).
- The Broncos racked up 346.5 yards per game at home (21.9 more than their overall average), and gave up 300.1 at home (17 less than overall).
- At home, the Broncos racked up 243.3 passing yards per game and gave up 205.6. That’s more than they gained overall (212.4), and less than they allowed (220.7).
- The Broncos’ averages of rushing yards gained (103.3) and allowed (94.5) at home were both lower than their overall averages of 112.2 and 96.4, respectively.
- The Broncos converted 43.9% of third downs in home games (4.3% higher than their overall average), and conceded 38.8% at home (1.5% higher than overall).
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