The No. 17 SMU Mustangs (1-0) host the Baylor Bears (0-1) at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday, September 6, 2025.

The Bears are underdogs, but by less than a field goal (+2.5), versus the Mustangs (with an over/under of 65 points).

Below you’ll find our betting primer for this this game between the Mustangs and the Bears, and find all of our predictions here, too!

SMU vs. Baylor betting lines

• Spread favorite: Mustangs (-2.5)
• Moneyline: Mustangs (-147), Bears (+123)
• Total: 65 points
• TV Channel: CW (WFNA – Mobile, AL – Pensacola, FL)
• Live Stream: Fubo

SMU vs. Baylor betting info and stats

• SMU’s record against the spread last year was 7-6-0.
• SMU had an ATS record of 5-5 as favorites of 2.5 points or more last year.
• There were seven SMU games (out of 13) that hit the over last season.
• Baylor had eight wins in 12 games against the spread last year.
• As 2.5-point underdogs or more, Baylor had two wins ATS (2-1) last year.
• Baylor had nine of its 12 games go over the point total last year.

SMU vs. Baylor key players

SMU Mustangs

• Kevin Jennings put together an impressive passing stat line last year with 3,245 yards (231.8 yards per game), going 247-for-380 (65% completion percentage), 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. He was effective in the running game as well, with 354 rushing yards on 101 carries, five rushing TDs, and averaging 25.3 yards per game.
• Last season Brashard Smith took 234 rushing attempts for 1,329 yards (94.9 per game) and scored 14 touchdowns. When it comes to receiving, he also caught 39 passes for 327 yards (23.4 per game) and collected four TDs.
• Roderick Daniels Jr. picked up 42 receptions for 663 yards and four touchdowns last season. He was targeted 58 times, and averaged 47.4 yards per game.
• Key’Shawn Smith also impressed receiving last season. He had 33 receptions for 527 yards and five touchdowns. He was targeted 55 times.
• Jordan Hudson hauled in 39 passes for 422 yards and five touchdowns, putting up 30.1 yards per game last year.
• Last season Elijah Roberts stacked up 7.5 sacks, 7.0 TFL and 31 tackles.
• Kobe Wilson was a wrecking ball on the field, collecting 99 tackles, 6.0 TFL, three sacks, and two interceptions last year.
• Jonathan McGill collected three interceptions while adding 49 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three passes defended last year.

Baylor Bears

• Sawyer Robertson connected on 62.2% of his passes to throw for 3,071 yards and 28 touchdowns last season. Robertson also helped with his legs, tallying four touchdowns on 17.7 yards per game.
• Bryson Washington tallied 1,028 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns on the ground in addition to 217 receiving yards and one touchdown through the air during last year’s campaign.
• Dawson Pendergrass ran for six touchdowns on 671 yards a year ago.
• Josh Cameron averaged 58.0 yards on four receptions per game and racked up 10 receiving touchdowns in 2024.
• Ashtyn Hawkins caught 45 passes last season on his way to 567 yards and five receiving touchdowns.
• Monaray Baldwin averaged 36.8 receiving yards per game on 4.2 targets per game a season ago.
• Matt Jones proved to be a strong defender last year, recording 4.0 sacks, 9.0 TFL and 96 tackles.
• Keaton Thomas had a stellar defensive performance last season with 96 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception.
• Last year Corey Gordon Jr. intercepted three passes to go along with 28 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three passes defended.