Mets vs. Royals Betting Lines, Odds, & Player Matchups July 11, 2025

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

Salvador Perez leads the Kansas City Royals (46-48) into a contest against the New York Mets (53-40) following his two-home run outing in a 4-3 win over the Pirates. The Mets are favored on the moneyline (-141) for this game against the underdog Royals (+118), which begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday. New York has Kodai Senga starting things off, and Kansas City will send out Michael Wacha.

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Odds to Win

Mets to win vs Royals -141

Bet $20, Payout $34.18

Mets vs. Royals betting lines

  • Favorite: Mets (-141)
  • Underdog: Royals (+118)
  • Over/under: 9

Mets betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Mets betting info

  • The Mets have won 42 of the 65 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (64.6%).
  • New York has gone 27-15 (winning 64.3% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -141 or shorter.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Mets have an implied win probability of 58.5%.
  • New York has had an over/under set by bookmakers 93 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 42 of those games (42-49-2).
  • The Mets are 45-48-0 ATS this season.

Mets hitting info

  • Juan Soto has hit a team-high 21 home runs.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Soto’s home run total ranks 11th and his RBI tally ranks 37th.
  • Pete Alonso has hit 21 home runs with 75 RBI while batting .287. Those stats are all team-highs.
  • Alonso ranks 11th in home runs among hitters in MLB action and fourth in RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor is hitting .261 with 17 doubles, 18 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Lindor brings a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a double, a home run, three walks and five RBIs.
  • Brandon Nimmo has 17 doubles, 18 home runs and 26 walks while batting .257.
  • Nimmo enters this game on a two-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is batting .316 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBIs.

Mets pitching rankings

  • The Mets pitching staff is eighth in MLB with a collective 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • New York has the fifth-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.57).
  • The Mets average baseball’s 19th-ranked WHIP (1.304).
  • Mets pitchers combine to surrender 81 home runs (0.9 per game), the first-fewest in baseball.
  • New York its 3-1 loss the last time out, the team struck out six Orioles batters while allowing six hits.

Royals betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Royals betting info

  • The Royals have been underdogs in 59 games this season and won 28 (47.5%) of those contests.
  • Kansas City has a record of 12-12 in games where oddsmakers have it as underdogs of at least +118 on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have a 45.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 36 of its 94 games with a total this season.
  • The Royals are 49-45-0 against the spread this season.

Royals hitting info

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has been key for Kansas City with 13 home runs, 52 RBI and a batting average of .295 this season.
  • Witt is 62nd in home runs and 37th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Witt heads into this game on a 13-game hitting streak. In his last 10 games he is batting .385 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and nine RBIs.
  • Maikel Garcia leads Kansas City in batting with a .305 average while slugging eight homers and driving in 40 runs.
  • Among all major league hitters, Garcia is 145th in homers and 89th in RBI.
  • Garcia has safely hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .256 with two doubles, three walks and two RBIs.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino leads the club in homers (15) and runs batted in (56) this season.
  • Pasquantino brings a four-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with three doubles, a home run and an RBI.
  • Perez is batting .245 with an OBP of .285 and a slugging percentage of .427 this season.
  • Perez brings a four-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .412 with a double, four home runs and five RBIs.

Royals pitching rankings

  • The Royals strike out 8.2 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 18th in MLB.
  • Kansas City has the third-best ERA (3.47) in the majors this season.
  • The Royals have a combined WHIP of just 1.212 as a pitching staff, which is the sixth-best in baseball this season.
  • With just 95 homers allowed, the Royals rank 10th in the league at preventing long balls.
  • Kansas City pitchers struck out nine Pirates batters while allowing eight hits in a 4-3 win last time out.
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