Padres vs. Rangers Betting Lines, Odds, & Player Matchups July 5, 2025

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres (46-40) and the Texas Rangers (43-44) meet in the first of a three-game series on Saturday at PETCO Park, beginning at 9:40 p.m. ET. The favored Padres (-142) are coming off of a 1-2 series loss to the Phillies, and the underdog Rangers (+119) head into the matchup following a 2-1 series win over the Orioles. San Diego’s Stephen Kolek and Texas’ Jack Leiter will take the mound first.

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Moneyline

Padres to win vs Rangers -142

Bet $20, Payout $34.08

Padres vs. Rangers betting lines

  • Favorite: Padres (-142)
  • Underdog: Rangers (+119)
  • Over/under: 8.5

Padres betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Padres betting info

  • The Padres are 27-17 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 61.4% of those games).
  • San Diego has gone 18-11 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -142 or shorter (62.1% winning percentage).
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Padres have an implied win probability of 58.7%.
  • San Diego has played in 86 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 34 times (34-48-4).
  • The Padres have a 46-40-0 record ATS this season (covering 53.5% of the time).

Padres hitting info

  • Manny Machado leads the Padres with 50 runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .289.
  • In MLB, Machado ranks 47th in homers and 32nd in RBI.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr.’s 15 home runs pace his team.
  • Among all MLB batters, Tatis ranks 36th in home runs and 91st in RBI.
  • Tatis takes a five-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is batting .300 with three walks and an RBI.
  • Luis Arraez has 17 doubles, four triples, four home runs and 16 walks while batting .279.
  • Gavin Sheets has 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 24 walks while batting .261.

Padres pitching rankings

  • The pitching staff for the Padres has a collective 8.9 K/9, the sixth-best in MLB.
  • San Diego’s 3.71 team ERA ranks eighth across all MLB pitching staffs.
  • Padres pitchers combine for the No. 9 WHIP in baseball (1.239).
  • Padres pitchers combine to surrender the sixth-fewest home runs in baseball (86 total, 1.0 per game).
  • San Diego struck out six Phillies batters while allowing 10 hits in a 5-1 loss in its last game.

Rangers betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Rangers betting info

  • This season, the Rangers have won 13 out of the 43 games, or 30.2%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • Texas has a record of 2-13 in games where sportsbooks have it as underdogs of at least +119 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Rangers, based on the moneyline, is 45.7%.
  • Games involving Texas have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 31 of 87 chances this season.
  • The Rangers have an ATS record of 46-41-0 in 87 games with a spread this season.

Rangers hitting info

  • Marcus Semien has been key for Texas with 74 hits, an OBP of .316 plus a slugging percentage of .363.
  • Semien ranks 120th in home runs and 72nd in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Semien heads into this matchup on an eight-game hitting streak. During his last 10 games he is batting .302 with two doubles, two home runs, five walks and eight RBIs.
  • Josh Smith’s batting average of .287 leads all Texas hitters this season.
  • Smith ranks 162nd in home runs and 221st in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Smith heads into this matchup on a two-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a walk.
  • Adolis Garcia leads Texas in RBI with 49 while batting .232 with 10 home runs.
  • Garcia has hit safely in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .261 with a double, a home run and seven RBIs.
  • Corey Seager is batting .249 with an OBP of .347 and a slugging percentage of .449 this season.
  • Seager has hit safely in eight games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is batting .297 with two doubles, four home runs, eight walks and nine RBIs.

Rangers pitching rankings

  • The Rangers have an 8.0 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 22nd in the big leagues.
  • Texas pitchers have the lowest combined ERA in the majors at 3.24.
  • The Rangers have a combined 1.150 WHIP as a pitching staff, first-lowest in MLB.
  • With just 75 homers allowed, the Rangers rank second in the league at preventing long balls.
  • Texas pitchers struck out seven Orioles batters while allowing five hits in a 6-0 win last time out.
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