Duke vs. Arizona betting: March Madness Sweet 16 preview for March 27

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils (33-3) and the No. 4 seed Arizona Wildcats (24-12) meet in the NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 with a ticket to the Elite Eight of the East Region bracket up for grabs on Thursday at Prudential Center, tipping off at 9:39 p.m. ET. Duke is a 9.5-point favorite in the matchup, which airs on CBS. The matchup’s over/under is 154.5.

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Duke Cover -9.5 vs Arizona -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Duke vs. Arizona betting lines

  • Duke moneyline odds to win: -538
  • Arizona moneyline odds to win: +400
  • Spread: Duke (-9.5)
  • Total: 154.5

Duke statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Blue Devils’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, putting up 88.9 points per contest compared to the 83.2 they’ve averaged this season.
  • The past 10 games have seen Duke concede 2.2 more points per game (63.9) than its season-long average (61.7).
  • The Blue Devils are trending up from deep over their last 10 outings, making 10.6 threes per game and shooting 38.7% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 10.3 makes and 38.1% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Duke betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 24-12-0 (Home: 11-6-0; Away: 9-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 9.5+: 19-8-0 (As Favorite: 23-12-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 19-17-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 32-3 (Home: 17-0; Away: 9-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.2 (seventh in nation) 38.3 (first) 35.9 (19th) 27.2 (12th) 16.9 (16th) 8.9 (ninth)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Duke vs. Arizona? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Arizona statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Wildcats have performed better offensively over their previous 10 games, averaging 85.2 points per contest, three more than their season average of 82.2.
  • While Arizona is ceding 72.5 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse over its past 10 games, allowing 80.6 points per contest.
  • The Wildcats are draining 8.2 treys per game with a 39.6% three-point percentage over their last 10 games, compared to their season averages of 7.1 and 33.4%.

Arizona betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 19-17-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 20-16-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 20-7 (Home: 13-2; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-5 (Home: 0-1; Away: 3-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.5 (42nd in nation) 41.5 (57th) 36.8 (11th) 28.6 (38th) 16.3 (28th) 11.3 (200th)
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