The No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils (32-3) will take to the court against the No. 9 seed Baylor Bears (20-14) on Sunday with a spot in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament up for grabs. Duke is a 12.5-point favorite to take a step forward in the bracket, which begins at 2:40 p.m. ET on CBS. The point total is 145.5 for the matchup.
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Duke Cover -12.5 vs Baylor -109
Duke vs. Baylor betting lines
- Duke moneyline odds to win: -943
- Baylor moneyline odds to win: +615
- Spread: Duke (-12.5)
- Total: 145.5
Duke statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- On offense, the Blue Devils have increased their output slightly over their last 10 games, scoring 88 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 83 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
- Duke’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has given up 63.5 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 61.5 points per game its opponents average this season.
- During their last 10 outings, the Blue Devils are making 0.1 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (10.3 compared to 10.2 season-long), while shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (37.5% compared to 37.8% season-long).
Duke betting records this season
- ATS Record: 23-12-0 (Home: 11-6-0; Away: 9-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 12.5+: 16-7-0 (As Favorite: 22-12-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
- O-U-P: 18-17-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 5-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 31-3 (Home: 17-0; Away: 9-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.8 (14th in nation) | 38.4 (fourth) | 36.1 (17th) | 27.2 (12th) | 16.9 (17th) | 9 (10th) |
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Baylor statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- While the Bears are posting 76.4 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that over their previous 10 games, producing 69.4 points per contest.
- Baylor is ceding 67.8 points per contest in its past 10 games, which is 1.4 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (69.2).
- In their last 10 games, the Bears are making 7 threes per contest, 1.4 fewer threes than their season average (8.4). They also sport a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 games (29.7%) compared to their season average (34.8%).
Baylor betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-19-1 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 1-9-1)
- O-U-P: 18-15-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 5-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-3 (Home: 12-2; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-11 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.8 (167th in nation) | 43.6 (166th) | 33 (117th) | 30 (99th) | 14.6 (100th) | 10.3 (98th) |

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