Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. Vanderbilt betting: March Madness First Round preview for March 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The 10th-seeded Vanderbilt Commodores (20-12) will try to pull off a first-round NCAA Tournament upset against the No. 7 seed Saint Mary’s Gaels (28-5) on Friday at Rocket Arena. The matchup tips off at 3:15 p.m. ET on truTV. Vanderbilt is a 4.5-point underdog in the game. Here’s what you need to know before filling out your brackets for this 7-10 matchup in the East Region. The matchup has an over/under of 136.5.

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Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. Vanderbilt betting lines

  • Saint Mary’s (CA) moneyline odds to win: -203
  • Vanderbilt moneyline odds to win: +168
  • Spread: Saint Mary’s (CA) (-4.5)
  • Total: 136.5

Saint Mary’s (CA) statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Gaels have been putting up 68.7 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 73.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 campaign.
  • Saint Mary’s (CA)’s defense has been tougher as of late, as the team has given up 60.3 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 60.7 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
  • The Gaels’ past 10 outings have seen them make 5.2 three-pointers per game while shooting 28.0% from deep. Both numbers are less than their 2024-25 averages of 6.5 makes and 32.4%.

Saint Mary’s (CA) betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-18-0 (Home: 6-10-0; Away: 7-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 10-15-0 (As Favorite: 11-17-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-19-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 3-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 24-4 (Home: 14-1; Away: 7-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-1 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.6 (125th in nation) 40.8 (32nd) 36.5 (11th) 25.8 (third) 15.5 (61st) 9.2 (15th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. Vanderbilt? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Vanderbilt statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Commodores have fared worse offensively in their last 10 games, scoring 76.8 points per contest, 2.8 fewer points their than season average of 79.6.
  • Vanderbilt is ceding 81.8 points per game in its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 74.8 points allowed.
  • Over their previous 10 games, the Commodores are making 7.6 threes per contest, 0.5 fewer threes than their season average (8.1). They also have a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (31.7%) compared to their season average (32.5%).

Vanderbilt betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 18-14-0 (Home: 11-6-0; Away: 4-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 3-6-0 (As Favorite: 12-6-0; As Underdog: 6-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 17-15-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-3 (Home: 11-1; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-9 (Home: 3-2; Away: 1-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.2 (152nd in nation) 46.1 (306th) 31.4 (209th) 31.7 (213th) 13.9 (151st) 9.8 (46th)
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