Cent. Conn. St. vs. Saint Francis (PA) betting: NEC Tournament preview for March 11

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The top-seeded Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (25-6, 14-2 NEC) are 11.5-point favorites to win the NEC Tournament Championship and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket over the No. 3 seed Saint Francis (PA) Red Flash (15-17, 8-8 NEC) on Tuesday at William H. Detrick Gymnasium. The matchup starts at 7 p.m. ET and airs on ESPN2. The matchup’s point total is set at 135.5.

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Cent. Conn. St. Cover -11.5 vs Saint Francis (PA) -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Cent. Conn. St. vs. Saint Francis (PA) betting lines

  • Cent. Conn. St. moneyline odds to win: -758
  • Saint Francis (PA) moneyline odds to win: +529
  • Spread: Cent. Conn. St. (-11.5)
  • Total: 135.5

Cent. Conn. St. statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Cent. Conn. St. has done a better job covering the spread in road games (12-3-0) than it has at home (10-5-0).
  • In home games, the Blue Devils eclipse the over/under 66.7% of the time (10 of 15 games). They’ve hit the over in 33.3% of road games (five of 15 contests).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Cent. Conn. St. has won a lower percentage of its home games (.833) compared to road games (.909).

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Blue Devils have picked up their production a little bit over their last 10 games, scoring 76.3 points per contest over that span compared to the 73.2 they’ve put up over the course of this season.
  • Cent. Conn. St.’s defense has been more porous as of late, as the team has given up 63.7 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 63.4 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
  • The Blue Devils are trending up from deep during their last 10 outings, making 7.6 threes per game and shooting 38.2% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 7.2 makes and 35.0% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Cent. Conn. St. betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 22-9-0 (Home: 10-5-0; Away: 12-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 5-3-0 (As Favorite: 17-8-0; As Underdog: 5-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-15-0 (Home: 10-5-0; Away: 5-10-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 20-3 (Home: 10-2; Away: 10-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.2 (28th in nation) 41.5 (53rd) 32.6 (146th) 28.8 (52nd) 14.5 (112th) 10.2 (84th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Cent. Conn. St. vs. Saint Francis (PA)? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Saint Francis (PA) statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This season, Saint Francis (PA) is 6-5-0 at home against the spread (.545 winning percentage). Away, it is 10-8-0 ATS (.556).
  • In terms of the over/under, Red Flash games have finished over seven of 11 times at home (63.6%), and 12 of 18 on the road (66.7%).
  • This season the Red Flash are 2-3 at home when moneyline underdogs (.400 winning percentage). On the road they are 4-12 (.250).

Recent trends

  • In their past 10 games, the Red Flash are averaging 74.1 points per game, 2.2 more than their season average (71.9).
  • In its past 10 games, Saint Francis (PA) is ceding 72.1 points per contest, 0.4 fewer points than its season average (72.5).
  • The Red Flash are making 8.2 three-pointers per contest in their last 10 games, which is 0.1 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (8.3). That said, they have a better three-point percentage over their last 10 games (34.6%) compared to their season average from downtown (34.4%).

Saint Francis (PA) betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-13-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 10-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-3-0; As Underdog: 11-10-0)
  • O-U-P: 19-10-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 12-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-2 (Home: 5-1; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-15 (Home: 2-3; Away: 4-12)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.6 (80th in nation) 43.6 (167th) 30.8 (252nd) 31.3 (194th) 14.4 (123rd) 12.3 (282nd)
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