The New Mexico State Aggies (17-13, 10-7 CUSA) are only 2.5-point underdogs as they try to build on a three-game road winning streak when they square off against the Sam Houston Bearkats (12-18, 5-12 CUSA) on Saturday, March 8, 2025 at Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum. The matchup airs at 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is set at 137.5.
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Sam Houston Cover -2.5 vs New Mexico State -106
Sam Houston vs. New Mexico State betting lines
- Sam Houston moneyline odds to win: -141
- New Mexico State moneyline odds to win: +119
- Spread: Sam Houston (-2.5)
- Total: 137.5
Sam Houston statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Sam Houston has done a better job covering the spread in away games (6-10-0) than it has in home games (2-7-0).
- When playing at home, the Bearkats go over the over/under 77.8% of the time (seven of nine games). They’ve hit the over in 50% of away games (eight of 16 contests).
- As a moneyline favorite, Sam Houston has won a higher percentage of its games when playing at home (.714) compared to away games (.500).
Recent trends
- The Bearkats have seen a decrease in scoring lately, racking up 71.7 points per game in their last 10 outings, four points fewer than the 75.7 they’ve scored this season.
- Sam Houston has been tougher on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 74 points per game during its last 10 outings compared to the 76.2 points per game its opponents average in the 2024-25 season.
- While the Bearkats are connecting on fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (8.2 per game) compared to their season-long average (8.7), they are doing so while shooting the same percentage from beyond the arc (39.4%).
Sam Houston betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-19-0 (Home: 2-7-0; Away: 6-10-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 4-7-0 (As Favorite: 4-9-0; As Underdog: 4-10-0)
- O-U-P: 16-11-0 (Home: 7-2-0; Away: 8-8-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-5 (Home: 5-2; Away: 2-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-13 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-11)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.7 (181st in nation) | 44.8 (237th) | 32.1 (177th) | 31.1 (184th) | 12.9 (234th) | 12.3 (281st) |
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New Mexico State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- New Mexico State has been better against the spread on the road (9-4-0) than at home (4-8-0) this year.
- In terms of the over/under, Aggies games have gone over less often at home (two of 12, 16.7%) than away (four of 13, 30.8%).
- The Aggies’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .500 (1-1), and away it is .545 (6-5).
Recent trends
- While the Aggies are averaging 69.4 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, producing 64.2 points per contest.
- New Mexico State has fared better defensively over its past 10 games, ceding 61 points per contest, 4.1 fewer points than its season average of 65.1 allowed.
- The Aggies are draining 5.5 treys per contest over their last 10 games, which is 1.6 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.1). In addition, they have a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (27.2%) compared to their season average from downtown (32.1%).
New Mexico State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-14-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 9-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 8-5-0 (As Favorite: 5-9-0; As Underdog: 8-5-0)
- O-U-P: 7-20-0 (Home: 2-10-0; Away: 4-9-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-7 (Home: 5-5; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 7-6 (Home: 1-1; Away: 6-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.6 (329th in nation) | 39.2 (11th) | 35.3 (33rd) | 31.5 (207th) | 11.7 (310th) | 10.2 (87th) |
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