The Florida State Seminoles (16-14, 7-12 ACC) are 3.5-point underdogs as they attempt to break a four-game losing streak when they host the SMU Mustangs (22-8, 13-6 ACC) on Saturday, March 8, 2025 at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center. The game airs at 4 p.m. ET on ESPNU. The matchup has an over/under set at 155.5 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $39.05
SMU Cover -3.5 vs Florida State -105
SMU vs. Florida State betting lines
- SMU moneyline odds to win: -162
- Florida State moneyline odds to win: +135
- Spread: SMU (-3.5)
- Total: 155.5
SMU statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- SMU has done a better job covering the spread on the road (5-5-0) than it has in home games (7-10-0).
- The Mustangs have exceeded the over/under more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in 11 of 17 home matchups (64.7%). In road games, they have hit the over in five of 10 games (50%).
- As a moneyline favorite, SMU has won a lower percentage of its games at home (.857) compared to away games (.875).
Recent trends
- The Mustangs have been racking up 78.3 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 81.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- SMU has been tougher on the defensive side of the ball as of late, allowing 71.8 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 72 points per game its opponents average over the 2024-25 season.
- The Mustangs’ 8 made three-pointers per-game average over their last 10 games are less than the 8.1 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 38.5% compared to their season-long percentage of 38.4% from beyond the arc.
SMU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-16-0 (Home: 7-10-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 12-9-0 (As Favorite: 14-11-0; As Underdog: 0-5-0)
- O-U-P: 17-13-0 (Home: 11-6-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 22-3 (Home: 12-2; Away: 7-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-5 (Home: 0-3; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.4 (27th in nation) | 41.1 (43rd) | 35 (42nd) | 29 (60th) | 16 (45th) | 11.4 (205th) |
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Florida State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This season, Florida State is 9-6-0 at home against the spread (.600 winning percentage). Away, it is 4-7-0 ATS (.364).
- Looking at the over/under, Seminoles games have gone over less often at home (seven of 15, 46.7%) than away (six of 11, 54.5%).
- In 2024-25 when moneyline underdogs, the Seminoles have a better winning percentage at home (.250, 1-3 record) than away (.222, 2-7).
Recent trends
- In their past 10 games, the Seminoles are scoring 68.9 points per contest, compared to their season average of 74.8.
- Florida State is surrendering 76.6 points per contest in its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 72.8 points allowed.
- The Seminoles are making 0.4 fewer threes per contest in their last 10 games (5.9) compared to their season average (6.3), and they are delivering a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (30.6%) compared to their season mark (31.9%).
Florida State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-14-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 4-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 3-8-0 (As Favorite: 11-5-0; As Underdog: 5-9-0)
- O-U-P: 13-17-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 6-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-4 (Home: 9-2; Away: 0-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-10 (Home: 1-3; Away: 2-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.4 (143rd in nation) | 41.7 (64th) | 31.2 (223rd) | 31.7 (220th) | 13.3 (205th) | 12.2 (276th) |
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