The No. 4 seed Youngstown State Penguins (19-12, 13-7 Horizon League) are favored by 1.5 points in their Horizon League Tournament matchup against the No. 5 seed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (19-12, 12-8 Horizon League) on Thursday at Beeghly Center, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup’s point total is 155.5.
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Youngstown State Cover -1.5 vs Purdue Fort Wayne -112
Youngstown State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne betting lines
- Youngstown State moneyline odds to win: -127
- Purdue Fort Wayne moneyline odds to win: +107
- Spread: Youngstown State (-1.5)
- Total: 155.5
Youngstown State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Youngstown State has performed worse at home, covering four times in 12 home games, and nine times in 15 road games.
- The Penguins have eclipsed the over/under more often when playing at home, hitting the over in seven of 12 home matchups (58.3%). On the road, they have hit the over in six of 15 games (40%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Youngstown State has won a lower percentage of its games at home (.545) compared to road games (1.000).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Penguins have been putting up 84.5 points per game, an average that’s significantly higher than the 77.2 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- Youngstown State has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball as of late, giving up 76.0 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 72.1 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2024-25 season.
- The Penguins’ last 10 outings have seen them make 10.2 three-pointers per game while shooting 35.5% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up compared to their 2024-25 averages of 8.9 makes and 32.3%.
Youngstown State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 9-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 8-10-0 (As Favorite: 8-10-0; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
- O-U-P: 13-15-1 (Home: 7-4-1; Away: 6-9-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-6 (Home: 6-5; Away: 5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-6 (Home: 1-0; Away: 4-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.0 (228th in nation) | 42.6 (103rd) | 33.3 (98th) | 32.1 (247th) | 13.9 (156th) | 11.5 (219th) |
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Purdue Fort Wayne statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This season, Purdue Fort Wayne is 7-4-1 at home against the spread (.583 winning percentage). Away, it is 9-6-0 ATS (.600).
- In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Mastodons’ games have finished above the over/under at home (66.7%, eight of 12) compared to on the road (53.3%, eight of 15).
Recent trends
- In their previous 10 games, the Mastodons are putting up 75.7 points per game, 5.5 fewer points than their season average (81.2).
- Over its previous 10 games, Purdue Fort Wayne is giving up 74.7 points per contest, the same number of points it is allowing per game this season.
- In their last 10 games, the Mastodons are sinking 8.9 treys per contest, 1.5 fewer threes than their season average (10.4). They also sport a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (32.7%) compared to their season average (37.3%).
Purdue Fort Wayne betting records this season
- ATS Record: 17-11-1 (Home: 7-4-1; Away: 9-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 4-4-0 (As Favorite: 13-7-1; As Underdog: 4-4-0)
- O-U-P: 17-12-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 8-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-5 (Home: 10-2; Away: 5-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.3 (54th in nation) | 46.5 (320th) | 27.6 (347th) | 34.0 (328th) | 13.6 (184th) | 9.1 (12th) |
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