Northern Kentucky vs. Detroit Mercy betting: Horizon League Tournament preview for March 4

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 7 seed Northern Kentucky Norse (16-15, 11-9 Horizon League) are favored by 13.5 points in the Horizon League Tournament when they face off the No. 10 seed Detroit Mercy Titans (8-23, 4-16 Horizon League) Tuesday at Truist Arena, starting at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The winner moves one game closer to claiming a guaranteed place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total is set at 139.5 in the matchup.

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Northern Kentucky Cover -13.5 vs Detroit Mercy -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Northern Kentucky vs. Detroit Mercy betting lines

  • Northern Kentucky moneyline odds to win: -1176
  • Detroit Mercy moneyline odds to win: +734
  • Spread: Northern Kentucky (-13.5)
  • Total: 139.5

Northern Kentucky statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Northern Kentucky has performed better when playing at home, covering six times in 16 home games, and four times in 14 road games.
  • The Norse have eclipsed the total in six of 16 home games (37.5%). They’ve done better in away games, going over the total in seven of 14 matchups (50%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Northern Kentucky has won a higher percentage of its games when playing at home (.692) compared to away games (.667).

Recent trends

  • On offense, the Norse have increased their production a little bit over their last 10 games, scoring 76.3 points per contest over that span compared to the 71.3 they’ve put up over the course of this year.
  • Northern Kentucky’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (74.7) is 2.6 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (72.1).
  • The Norse are trending up from deep during their last 10 outings, making 7.8 threes per game and shooting 33.9% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 7.6 makes and 32.6% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Northern Kentucky betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-20-0 (Home: 6-10-0; Away: 4-10-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 13.5+: 0-2-0 (As Favorite: 7-10-0; As Underdog: 3-10-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-16-1 (Home: 6-10-0; Away: 7-6-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-5 (Home: 9-4; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-10 (Home: 0-2; Away: 3-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.8 (237th in nation) 44.8 (233rd) 30.7 (261st) 31.8 (221st) 14.1 (142nd) 11.5 (217th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Northern Kentucky vs. Detroit Mercy? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Detroit Mercy statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, Detroit Mercy has a better winning percentage at home (.667, 8-4-0 record) than on the road (.500, 8-8-0).
  • Titans games have gone above the over/under more frequently at home (six times out of 12) than away (seven of 16) this year.
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Titans have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-6) than on the road (2-14).

Recent trends

  • The Titans are scoring 67.0 points per contest over their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 66.8.
  • While Detroit Mercy is allowing 75.1 points per game in 2024-25, it has improved that mark over its past 10 games, allowing 75.0 points per contest.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Titans are draining 5.5 three-pointers per game, 0.1 fewer threes than their season average (5.6). They also sport a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 games (30.6%) compared to their season average (32.9%).

Detroit Mercy betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 17-13-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 8-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 13.5+: 7-5-0 (As Favorite: 2-1-0; As Underdog: 15-12-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-15-1 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 7-8-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-1 (Home: 2-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-22 (Home: 3-6; Away: 2-14)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.0 (345th in nation) 42.9 (124th) 33.9 (73rd) 32.1 (245th) 11.0 (344th) 12.4 (289th)
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