Big Ten foes meet when the No. 15 Michigan Wolverines (22-6, 14-3 Big Ten) host the Illinois Fighting Illini (18-11, 10-8 Big Ten) at Crisler Center, tipping off at 3:45 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 2, 2025. The Fighting Illini are 3.5-point underdogs in the game. The over/under is 160.5 in the matchup.
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Spread
Bet $20, Payout $39.23
Michigan Cover -3.5 vs Illinois -104
Michigan vs. Illinois betting lines
- Michigan moneyline odds to win: -160
- Illinois moneyline odds to win: +135
- Spread: Michigan (-3.5)
- Total: 160.5
Michigan statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Michigan has a worse record against the spread when playing at home (6-8-0) than it does on the road (5-4-0).
- The Wolverines have gone over the total more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in eight of 14 home matchups (57.1%). In road games, they have hit the over in five of nine games (55.6%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Michigan has won 13 of 14 games when playing at home, good for a .929 winning percentage. It has won four of five games away from home (.800) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Wolverines have seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 71.2 points per game in their last 10 contests, 8.6 points fewer than the 79.8 they’ve scored this year.
- Michigan has been less stingy on defense lately, allowing 72.8 points per game during its last 10 outings compared to the 70.6 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2024-25 season.
- Over their last 10 outings, the Wolverines are making 1.9 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (6.8 compared to 8.7 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (28.6% compared to 34.6% season-long).
Michigan betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-15-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 8-11-0 (As Favorite: 10-14-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
- O-U-P: 15-13-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-5 (Home: 13-1; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.4 (28th in nation) | 40.7 (31st) | 35 (45th) | 28.9 (56th) | 16.3 (35th) | 14.1 (349th) |
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Illinois statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2024-25 against the spread, Illinois has a better winning percentage at home (.562, 9-7-0 record) than away (.444, 4-5-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Fighting Illini games have finished over less often at home (seven of 16, 43.8%) than away (five of nine, 55.6%).
- The Fighting Illini, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than away (1-2) this season.
Recent trends
- The Fighting Illini have fared worse offensively in their past 10 games, tallying 78.2 points per contest, five fewer points their than season average of 83.2.
- While Illinois is ceding 73.3 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse over its last 10 games, allowing 81.2 points per contest.
- The Fighting Illini are sinking 7.7 treys per contest in their last 10 games, which is 1.5 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (9.2). Additionally, they have a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (27.1%) compared to their season average from downtown (30.5%).
Illinois betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 1-3-0 (As Favorite: 12-11-0; As Underdog: 2-4-0)
- O-U-P: 16-12-1 (Home: 7-8-1; Away: 5-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-6 (Home: 11-3; Away: 3-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-5 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.8 (180th in nation) | 41.3 (52nd) | 40.1 (first) | 30.7 (155th) | 14.6 (106th) | 11.3 (194th) |
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