Duke vs. Florida State betting: College basketball preview for March 1

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 2 Duke Blue Devils (25-3, 16-1 ACC) are heavy favorites (-22) as they try to build on a 14-game home winning streak when they square off against the Florida State Seminoles (16-12, 7-10 ACC) on Saturday, March 1, 2025 at Cameron Indoor Stadium. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on ACC Network. The matchup has an over/under set at 149.5 points.

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Spread

Duke Cover -22 vs Florida State -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Duke vs. Florida State betting lines

  • Duke moneyline odds to win: -7692
  • Florida State moneyline odds to win: +1900
  • Spread: Duke (-22)
  • Total: 149.5

Duke statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Duke has done a better job covering the spread in away games (8-2-0) than it has in home games (9-6-0).
  • The Blue Devils have exceeded the total in a higher percentage of games at home (53.3%) than games on the road (50%).
  • Duke has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 15-0 (1.000). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 8-1 (.889).

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Blue Devils have been putting up 84.9 points per game, an average that’s slightly higher than the 82.6 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • Duke’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has given up 63.7 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 61 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
  • While the Blue Devils are making fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (10.3 per game) when compared to their season-long average (10.4), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (42.2% from deep over the last 10, 39.1% on the season).

Duke betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 18-10-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 8-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 22+: 6-5-0 (As Favorite: 17-10-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-14-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 24-3 (Home: 15-0; Away: 8-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.2 (11th in nation) 38.4 (fifth) 35.7 (26th) 26.7 (10th) 17.2 (11th) 9.1 (12th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Duke vs. Florida State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Florida State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, Florida State has a better winning percentage at home (.600, 9-6-0 record) than on the road (.333, 3-6-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Seminoles games have gone over less often at home (seven of 15, 46.7%) than on the road (five of nine, 55.6%).
  • The Seminoles’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .250 (1-3), and on the road it is .286 (2-5).

Recent trends

  • Over their previous 10 games, the Seminoles are scoring 70.6 points per contest, 5.2 fewer points than their season average (75.8).
  • Florida State has played worse defensively in its past 10 games, giving up 76.1 points per contest, 3.8 more points than its season average of 72.3.
  • The Seminoles are sinking 0.8 fewer three-pointers per contest in their past 10 games (5.4) compared to their season average (6.2), and they are posting a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (29.2%) compared to their season mark (31.8%).

Florida State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-13-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 3-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-16-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-4 (Home: 9-2; Away: 0-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-8 (Home: 1-3; Away: 2-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46 (112th in nation) 41.7 (68th) 31.3 (218th) 31.4 (206th) 13.5 (188th) 12.3 (277th)
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