New Mexico State vs. Middle Tennessee betting: College basketball preview for February 27

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The New Mexico State Aggies (15-12, 8-6 CUSA) are 1.5-point favorites as they try to build on a three-game win streak when they host the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (18-9, 9-5 CUSA) on Thursday, February 27, 2025 at Pan American Center. The matchup airs at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s over/under is set at 137.5.

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New Mexico State Cover -1.5 vs Middle Tennessee -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

New Mexico State vs. Middle Tennessee betting lines

  • New Mexico State moneyline odds to win: -123
  • Middle Tennessee moneyline odds to win: +103
  • Spread: New Mexico State (-1.5)
  • Total: 137.5

New Mexico State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • New Mexico State has done a better job covering the spread in away games (8-4-0) than it has at home (3-7-0).
  • When it comes to over/unders, the Aggies hit the over less often when playing at home, as they’ve exceeded the total two times in 10 opportunities this season (20%). In road games, they have hit the over four times in 12 opportunities (33.3%).
  • New Mexico State has played worse as a moneyline favorite at home, posting a home record of 4-4, compared to going 2-0 away from home.

Recent trends

  • On offense, the Aggies have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 61.9 points per contest over that span compared to the 69.8 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
  • New Mexico State has been tougher on the defensive side of the ball lately, giving up 63.9 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 66.0 points per game its opponents average in the 2024-25 season.
  • The Aggies’ past 10 outings have seen them make 5.9 three-pointers per game while shooting 26.5% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are down compared to their 2024-25 averages of 7.3 makes and 32.2%.

New Mexico State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-13-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 8-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 3-8-0 (As Favorite: 4-8-0; As Underdog: 7-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-17-0 (Home: 2-8-0; Away: 4-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-6 (Home: 4-4; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-6 (Home: 1-1; Away: 5-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.9 (325th in nation) 39.6 (15th) 35.1 (38th) 31.7 (219th) 11.9 (299th) 10.6 (114th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on New Mexico State vs. Middle Tennessee? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Middle Tennessee statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This year, Middle Tennessee is 5-6-0 at home against the spread (.455 winning percentage). On the road, it is 7-4-0 ATS (.636).
  • Blue Raiders games have gone above the over/under 27.3% of the time at home (three of 11), and 45.5% of the time on the road (five of 11).

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Blue Raiders are scoring 71.9 points per game, compared to their season average of 76.1.
  • Over its previous 10 games, Middle Tennessee is giving up 72.0 points per game, 0.6 more points than its season average (71.4).
  • Over their last 10 games, the Blue Raiders are draining 7.9 treys per contest, 0.5 more than their season average (7.4). They also own a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (35.0%) compared to their season average (33.0%).

Middle Tennessee betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-11-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 7-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 7-5-0 (As Favorite: 7-6-0; As Underdog: 7-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-14-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-3 (Home: 8-3; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-6 (Home: 0-0; Away: 4-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.6 (132nd in nation) 42.1 (87th) 34.7 (53rd) 31.6 (212th) 12.5 (262nd) 10.7 (126th)
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