The Missouri State Bears (9-18, 2-14 MVC) are only 2.5-point underdogs as they try to stop a nine-game road losing streak when they take on the Valparaiso Beacons (11-16, 4-12 MVC) on Wednesday, February 19, 2025 at Athletics-Recreation Center. The matchup airs at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is set at 139.

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Valparaiso vs. Missouri State betting lines

• Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: -143
• Missouri State moneyline odds to win: +120
• Spread: Valparaiso (-2.5)
• Total: 139

Valparaiso statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Against the spread, Valparaiso has performed better at home, covering seven times in 13 home games, and five times in 11 road games.
• At home, the Beacons go over the over/under 61.5% of the time (eight of 13 games). They hit the over more often in away games, exceeding the total in 63.6% of games (seven of 11).
• As a moneyline favorite, Valparaiso has picked up the win in four of six games at home, good for a .667 winning percentage. It has won zero of one game away from home (.000) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

• The Beacons have been scoring 71.8 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 76.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
• Valparaiso’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (79.5) is 4.2 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (75.3).
• During their last 10 contests, the Beacons are making 0.2 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.4 compared to 7.6 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (32.3% compared to 33.2% season-long).

Valparaiso betting records this season

• ATS Record: 12-12-1 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 5-5-1)
• ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 2-3-0 (As Favorite: 4-3-0; As Underdog: 8-9-1)
• O-U-P: 16-9-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 7-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-3 (Home: 4-2; Away: 0-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-13 (Home: 3-4; Away: 2-8)

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Missouri State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Missouri State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (6-6-0). Away, it is .545 (6-5-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Bears games have finished over six of 12 times at home (50%), and five of 11 away (45.5%).
• In 2024-25 when moneyline underdogs, the Bears have a better winning percentage at home (.600, 3-2 record) than away (.000, 0-9).

Recent trends

• While the Bears are scoring 69.0 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that over their previous 10 games, tallying 65.1 points per contest.
• While Missouri State is surrendering 71.1 points per game in 2024-25, it has bettered that mark over its last 10 games, allowing 69.1 points per contest.
• The Bears are making 7.0 three-pointers per game over their past 10 games, which is 0.1 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.1). That said, they sport a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (37.0%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (36.0%).

Missouri State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 14-12-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 6-5-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 10-5-0 (As Favorite: 3-6-0; As Underdog: 11-6-0)
• O-U-P: 12-14-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 5-6-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-5 (Home: 2-4; Away: 1-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-13 (Home: 3-2; Away: 0-9)