The Illinois Fighting Illini (17-8, 9-6 Big Ten) host the No. 11 Michigan State Spartans (19-5, 10-3 Big Ten) after winning three straight home games. The Fighting Illini are favored by 6.5 points in the matchup, which starts at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 15, 2025. The matchup has a point total of 158.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.35
Illinois Cover -6.5 vs Michigan State -109
Illinois vs. Michigan State betting lines
- Illinois moneyline odds to win: -272
- Michigan State moneyline odds to win: +220
- Spread: Illinois (-6.5)
- Total: 158.5
Illinois statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Illinois has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered eight times in 14 opportunities at home, and it has covered four times in eight opportunities in road games.
- When playing at home, the Fighting Illini go over the over/under 50% of the time (seven of 14 games). They hit the over in the same percentage of road games (four of eight contests).
- Illinois has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 10-2 (.833). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 3-3 (.500).
Recent trends
- The Fighting Illini have been racking up 80.9 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 85.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 campaign.
- Illinois’ defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has given up 78.9 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 71.3 points per game its opponents average this season.
- The Fighting Illini are trending down from deep during their last 10 outings, making 7.8 threes per game and shooting 27.7% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 9.5 makes and 31.6% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
Illinois betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-12-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 9-6-0 (As Favorite: 11-10-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
- O-U-P: 14-10-1 (Home: 7-6-1; Away: 4-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-5 (Home: 10-2; Away: 3-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.1 (166th in nation) | 39.9 (21st) | 41.6 (first) | 29.6 (94th) | 14.9 (96th) | 11.6 (218th) |
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Michigan State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Michigan State has been better against the spread away (3-2-0) than at home (7-6-0) this season.
- Spartans games have gone above the over/under 30.8% of the time at home (four of 13), and 40% of the time away (two of five).
Recent trends
- The Spartans have played worse offensively in their past 10 games, averaging 76.8 points per contest, 2.5 fewer points their than season average of 79.3.
- Michigan State is allowing 68.8 points per contest in its past 10 games, which is 1.2 more points than it is allowing for the season (67.6).
- In their past 10 games, the Spartans are draining 5.5 three-pointers per game, 0.1 fewer threes than their season average (5.6). They sport a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (29.9%) compared to their season average (28.8%).
Michigan State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-10-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 3-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 12-8-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
- O-U-P: 9-15-0 (Home: 4-9-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-3 (Home: 12-1; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.6 (87th in nation) | 39.9 (21st) | 37.2 (ninth) | 27.6 (21st) | 17.8 (ninth) | 11.5 (208th) |
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