The No. 19 Ole Miss Rebels (19-6, 8-4 SEC) are 3.5-point favorites as they attempt to build on a three-game winning streak when they host the No. 22 Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-7, 5-6 SEC) on Saturday, February 15, 2025 at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss. The game airs at 6:00 PM ET on ESPN2. The matchup has an over/under of 146.5.
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Ole Miss Cover -3.5 vs Mississippi State -113
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State betting lines
- Ole Miss moneyline odds to win: -177
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +148
- Spread: Ole Miss (-3.5)
- Total: 146.5
Ole Miss statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Ole Miss has done a better job covering the spread in away games (4-4-0) than it has at home (6-7-0).
- At home, the Rebels go over the over/under 30.8% of the time (four of 13 games). They hit the over more consistently on the road, eclipsing the total in 50% of games (four of eight).
- Ole Miss has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 11-1 (.917). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 2-0 (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Rebels’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, racking up 76.5 points a contest compared to the 78.1 they’ve averaged this year.
- Ole Miss’ defense has been more porous lately, as the team has allowed 74.2 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 68.4 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
- Over their past 10 contests, the Rebels are making 0.3 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.5 compared to 8.8 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (35.1% compared to 35.5% season-long).
Ole Miss betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-11-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 8-8-0 (As Favorite: 8-8-0; As Underdog: 6-3-0)
- O-U-P: 11-14-0 (Home: 4-9-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-1 (Home: 11-1; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-5 (Home: 0-1; Away: 3-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.8 (184th in nation) | 41.6 (67th) | 30.4 (282nd) | 33.2 (299th) | 15.3 (76th) | 8.4 (first) |
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Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Mississippi State has been better against the spread away (4-3-0) than at home (4-8-0) this season.
- In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Bulldogs’ games have finished above the over/under at home (58.3%, seven of 12) compared to on the road (42.9%, three of seven).
Recent trends
- The Bulldogs have played worse offensively over their last 10 games, putting up 72.6 points per contest, 6.7 fewer points their than season average of 79.3.
- In its past 10 games, Mississippi State is ceding 78.8 points per game, 7.0 more points than its season average (71.8).
- In their past 10 games, the Bulldogs are making 7.5 three-pointers per contest, 0.8 fewer threes than their season average (8.3). They also have a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 games (28.4%) compared to their season average (31.7%).
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-14-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 0-2-0 (As Favorite: 9-12-0; As Underdog: 1-2-0)
- O-U-P: 12-12-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 3-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-5 (Home: 8-4; Away: 4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.8 (130th in nation) | 43.2 (151st) | 35.7 (28th) | 32.2 (248th) | 15.6 (63rd) | 10.1 (69th) |
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