Xavier vs. Providence betting: College basketball preview for February 12

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Providence Friars (11-13, 5-8 Big East) are 2.5-point underdogs as they attempt to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the Xavier Musketeers (14-10, 6-7 Big East) on Wednesday, February 12, 2025 at Amica Mutual Pavilion. The matchup airs at 8:00 PM ET on Peacock. The matchup’s over/under is 145.

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Xavier Cover -2.5 vs Providence -118

Bet $20, Payout $36.95

Xavier vs. Providence betting lines

  • Xavier moneyline odds to win: -160
  • Providence moneyline odds to win: +134
  • Spread: Xavier (-2.5)
  • Total: 145

Xavier statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Xavier sports a better record against the spread in home games (7-6-0) than it does on the road (4-5-0).
  • In terms of point totals, the Musketeers hit the over less often in home games, as they’ve exceeded the total six times in 13 opportunities this season (46.2%). On the road, they have hit the over five times in nine opportunities (55.6%).
  • In 11 home games as a moneyline favorite, Xavier has 11 wins (1.000). It has the same winning percentage (1-0 record) as a moneyline favorite away from home.

Recent trends

  • The Musketeers have been putting up 70.6 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 76.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • Xavier has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 72.0 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 70.5 it has conceded this year.
  • The Musketeers’ last 10 contests have seen them make 6.9 three-pointers per game while shooting 35.0% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are below their 2024-25 averages of 8.1 makes and 38.5%.

Xavier betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-12-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 7-5-0 (As Favorite: 8-5-0; As Underdog: 4-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-13-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-0 (Home: 11-0; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-10 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.6 (144th in nation) 43.5 (165th) 30.2 (294th) 30.2 (119th) 16.4 (33rd) 11.0 (149th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Xavier vs. Providence? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Providence statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Providence has had better results on the road (5-3-0) than at home (6-6-0).
  • In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Friars’ games have finished above the over/under at home (41.7%, five of 12) than on the road (62.5%, five of eight).
  • The Friars’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .400 (2-3), and away it is .167 (1-5).

Recent trends

  • The Friars are scoring 75.9 points per contest in their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 71.9.
  • Providence is giving up 76.1 points per game over its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 70.3 points allowed.
  • The Friars are draining 9.9 threes per game in their last 10 games, which is 0.5 more than their average for the season (9.4). Likewise, they own a better three-point percentage over their past 10 games (40.1%) compared to their season average from downtown (36.0%).

Providence betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-12-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 5-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 7-4-0 (As Favorite: 3-8-0; As Underdog: 9-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-10-1 (Home: 5-6-1; Away: 5-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-3 (Home: 7-0; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-10 (Home: 2-3; Away: 1-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.1 (217th in nation) 41.8 (83rd) 34.2 (75th) 29.5 (89th) 12.5 (269th) 11.7 (222nd)
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