Michigan vs. Purdue betting: College basketball preview for February 11

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 20 Michigan Wolverines (18-5, 10-2 Big Ten) take a four-game winning streak into a home matchup with the No. 7 Purdue Boilermakers (19-5, 11-2 Big Ten), who have won four straight as well. The Boilermakers are underdogs by only 2.5 points in the contest, which tips at 7:00 PM ET (on Peacock) on Tuesday, February 11, 2025. The point total for the matchup is 151.5.

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Michigan Cover -2.5 vs Purdue -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Michigan vs. Purdue betting lines

  • Michigan moneyline odds to win: -147
  • Purdue moneyline odds to win: +123
  • Spread: Michigan (-2.5)
  • Total: 151.5

Michigan statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Michigan has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered six times in 11 opportunities at home, and it has covered three times in seven opportunities in road games.
  • The Wolverines have exceeded the over/under in seven of 11 home games (63.6%), compared to four of seven road games (57.1%).
  • Michigan has played better as a moneyline favorite at home, putting up a home record of 11-0, compared to going 3-1 in road games.

Recent trends

  • The Wolverines’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, racking up 78.7 points a contest compared to the 81.7 they’ve averaged this year.
  • The past 10 games have seen Michigan give up 4.9 more points per game (75.3) than its season-long average (70.4).
  • Over their past 10 contests, the Wolverines are making the same number of three-pointers per game as their season long average (9.3), while shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (36.5% compared to 36.3% season-long).

Michigan betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-12-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 3-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 8-10-0 (As Favorite: 9-11-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-10-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 4-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-4 (Home: 11-0; Away: 3-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.2 (12th in nation) 40.6 (40th) 35 (52nd) 28.4 (39th) 17.3 (14th) 14.4 (354th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Michigan vs. Purdue? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Purdue statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This year, Purdue is 8-5-0 at home against the spread (.615 winning percentage). On the road, it is 5-2-0 ATS (.714).
  • In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Boilermakers’ games have finished above the over/under at home (76.9%, 10 of 13) compared to away (42.9%, three of seven).
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Boilermakers have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-0) than away (1-2).

Recent trends

  • While the Boilermakers are posting 78.7 points per game in 2024-25, they have improved that mark in their past 10 games, producing 80.7 a contest.
  • While Purdue is giving up 68.6 points per game in 2024-25, it has improved that mark in its past 10 games, allowing 66.1 points per contest.
  • In their previous 10 games, the Boilermakers are sinking 6.8 threes per contest, 1.1 fewer threes than their season average (7.9). They also own a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 games (34.2%) compared to their season average (37.5%).

Purdue betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-10-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 5-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 12-7-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-9-0 (Home: 10-3-0; Away: 3-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-2 (Home: 11-1; Away: 4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.6 (fourth in nation) 43.8 (187th) 30.4 (285th) 28.9 (62nd) 16.7 (29th) 10.2 (72nd)
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