Michigan State vs. Minnesota betting: College basketball preview for January 28

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 7 Michigan State Spartans (17-2, 8-0 Big Ten) bring a 12-game winning streak into a home matchup with the Minnesota Golden Gophers (11-9, 3-6 Big Ten), who have won three straight. The Spartans are heavy favorites (-13.5) in the contest, which tips at 8:00 PM ET (on Peacock) on Tuesday, January 28, 2025. The matchup has an over/under of 139.5 points.

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Michigan State Cover -13.5 vs Minnesota -117

Bet $20, Payout $37.09

Michigan State vs. Minnesota betting lines

  • Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -1250
  • Minnesota moneyline odds to win: +765
  • Spread: Michigan State (-13.5)
  • Total: 139.5

Michigan State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Michigan State did a better job covering the spread when playing at home (11-7-0) last season than it did in road affairs (5-5-0).
  • The Spartans hit the over on the total in a lower percentage of home games (38.9%) than road games (50%) last year.
  • As a moneyline favorite last season, Michigan State won 12 of 16 games when playing at home, good for a .750 winning percentage. Michigan State won three of seven games on the road (.429) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Spartans’ offense has been better over their last 10 games, putting up 81.8 points per contest compared to the 81.7 they’ve averaged this year.
  • The past 10 games have seen Michigan State allow 1.9 fewer points per game (66.2) than its season-long average (68.1).
  • The Spartans’ last 10 contests have seen them make 5.7 three-pointers per game while shooting 31.7% from deep. Both numbers are up from their 2024-25 averages of 5.5 makes and 28.7%.

Michigan State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-7-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 3-0-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 13.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 10-6-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-11-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 2-1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-1 (Home: 10-0; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.5 (59th in nation) 39.7 (27th) 37.3 (12th) 28.2 (37th) 18.4 (eighth) 11.5 (195th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Michigan State vs. Minnesota? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Minnesota statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Minnesota has been better against the spread on the road (2-2-0) than at home (5-9-0) this year.
  • Golden Gophers games have gone above the over/under 57.1% of the time at home (eight of 14), and 50% of the time away (two of four).
  • In 2024-25 as moneyline underdogs, the Golden Gophers have a better winning percentage at home (.400, 2-3 record) than away (.250, 1-3).

Recent trends

  • In their previous 10 games, the Golden Gophers are averaging 74.3 points per contest, 4.5 more than their season average (69.8).
  • Minnesota is surrendering 75.4 points per contest over its past 10 games, which is 6.7 more points than it is allowing for the season (68.7).
  • In their past 10 games, the Golden Gophers are sinking 7.3 threes per game, 0.5 more than their season average (6.8). They also have a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (34.6%) compared to their season average (32.1%).

Minnesota betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 7-12-1 (Home: 5-9-0; Away: 2-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 13.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 2-7-0; As Underdog: 5-5-1)
  • O-U-P: 10-10-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 2-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-1 (Home: 8-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-8 (Home: 2-3; Away: 1-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.6 (194th in nation) 43.4 (175th) 31.4 (244th) 31.0 (165th) 16.0 (53rd) 9.7 (28th)
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