Northern Iowa vs. Missouri State betting: College basketball preview for January 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Missouri State Bears (7-12, 0-8 MVC) will try to end a seven-game losing streak when they visit the Northern Iowa Panthers (11-8, 5-3 MVC) on Tuesday, January 21, 2025 at McLeod Center as 9.5-point underdogs. The contest airs at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 134.5.

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Spread

Northern Iowa Cover -9.5 vs Missouri State -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Northern Iowa vs. Missouri State betting lines

  • Northern Iowa moneyline odds to win: -568
  • Missouri State moneyline odds to win: +416
  • Spread: Northern Iowa (-9.5)
  • Total: 134.5

Northern Iowa statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Northern Iowa has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered eight times in 10 opportunities at home, and it has covered three times in five opportunities on the road.
  • In terms of point totals, the Panthers hit the over less often when playing at home, as they’ve exceeded the total four times in 10 opportunities this season (40%). On the road, they have hit the over three times in five opportunities (60%).
  • Northern Iowa has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 8-2 (.800). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 1-2 (.333).

Recent trends

  • The Panthers’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, scoring 75.2 points a contest compared to the 75.7 they’ve averaged this year.
  • Northern Iowa has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 71.1 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 68.3 it has surrendered this year.
  • The Panthers are trending down from deep during their last 10 outings, making 6.5 threes per game and shooting 33.0% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 7.2 makes and 36.4% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Northern Iowa betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-7-0 (Home: 8-2-0; Away: 3-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 9.5+: 6-0-0 (As Favorite: 9-4-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-11-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 3-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-4 (Home: 8-2; Away: 1-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
50.3 (sixth in nation) 43.9 (215th) 29.9 (312th) 28.8 (61st) 13.9 (171st) 10.3 (64th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Northern Iowa vs. Missouri State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Missouri State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, Missouri State has a lower winning percentage at home (.375, 3-5-0 record) than on the road (.571, 4-3-0).
  • Bears games have finished above the over/under 50% of the time at home (four of eight), and 42.9% of the time away (three of seven).
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Bears have won a higher percentage of games at home (2-0) than on the road (0-5).

Recent trends

  • In their past 10 games, the Bears are tallying 63.9 points per game, compared to their season average of 70.1.
  • In its last 10 games, Missouri State is giving up 71.0 points per contest, 1.4 fewer points than its season average (72.4).
  • The Bears are sinking 7.2 three-pointers per game over their past 10 games, which is 0.1 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.3). Additionally, they own a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (33.8%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (35.4%).

Missouri State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-9-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 4-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 9.5+: 3-1-0 (As Favorite: 2-6-0; As Underdog: 7-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-10-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 3-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-5 (Home: 1-4; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.3 (263rd in nation) 47.5 (345th) 30.2 (305th) 28.6 (54th) 12.3 (287th) 12.5 (280th)
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