The No. 21 Ole Miss Rebels (15-2, 4-0 SEC) will attempt to extend a four-game win streak when they hit the road to take on the No. 15 Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-3, 2-2 SEC) on Saturday, January 18, 2025 at Humphrey Coliseum as 5.5-point underdogs. The contest airs at 6:00 PM ET on ESPN2. The matchup’s point total is set at 146.5.
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Mississippi State Cover -5.5 vs Ole Miss -112
Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss betting lines
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: -243
- Ole Miss moneyline odds to win: +197
- Spread: Mississippi State (-5.5)
- Total: 146.5
Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Mississippi State has done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (3-1-0) than it has at home (4-4-0).
- In home games, the Bulldogs exceed the total 62.5% of the time (five of eight games). They’ve hit the over in 50% of away games (two of four contests).
- Mississippi State has fared worse as a moneyline favorite in home games, putting up a home record of 7-1, compared to going 3-0 on the road.
Recent trends
- The Bulldogs have seen a decrease in scoring lately, putting up 81.3 points per game in their last 10 contests, 1.5 points fewer than the 82.8 they’ve scored this season.
- Mississippi State has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 69.9 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 69.5 it has surrendered this year.
- During their last 10 contests, the Bulldogs are making 0.5 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.1 compared to 8.6 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (32.3% compared to 32.7% season-long).
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-8-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 6-7-0 (As Favorite: 9-7-0; As Underdog: 0-1-0)
- O-U-P: 9-8-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-2 (Home: 7-1; Away: 3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.7 (98th in nation) | 42.5 (132nd) | 36.8 (21st) | 31.5 (196th) | 16.3 (53rd) | 9.4 (15th) |
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Ole Miss statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Ole Miss has had better results away (3-1-0) than at home (5-4-0).
- Rebels games have finished above the over/under 22.2% of the time at home (two of nine), and 25% of the time away (one of four).
Recent trends
- While the Rebels are averaging 78.7 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, amassing 76.0 points per contest.
- Over its last 10 games, Ole Miss is giving up 61.8 points per game, compared to its season average of 64.6 points allowed.
- Over their previous 10 games, the Rebels are draining 8.3 treys per contest, 0.5 fewer threes than their season average (8.8). They also sport a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (34.6%) compared to their season average (35.4%).
Ole Miss betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-5-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 7-4-0; As Underdog: 5-1-0)
- O-U-P: 6-11-0 (Home: 2-7-0; Away: 1-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-0 (Home: 9-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.0 (176th in nation) | 40.2 (38th) | 31.9 (219th) | 31.5 (196th) | 15.8 (74th) | 8.8 (sixth) |
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