Justin Thomas enters the 2025 The American Express at PGA West (Palmer) among the favorites to win with +1400 odds. He will look for another strong showing after his third-place finish at this tournament in 2024. Before Thomas tees off in La Quinta, CA, let’s analyze his recent performances to help you place your best bets.
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Moneyline
Bet $20, Payout $300.00
Thomas to win the 2025 The American Express +1400
Justin Thomas’ recent tournaments
| Date | Tournament | Finish | Score | Shots Behind Leader | Earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 2-5 | The Sentry | 26 | 71-71-68-63 (-19) | 16 | $163,333 |
| December 5-8 | Hero World Challenge | 3 | 66-67-66-71 (-18) | 7 | $300,000 |
| October 24-27 | ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP | 2 | 66-64-65-66 (-19) | 1 | $748,000 |
| August 29 – September 1 | TOUR Championship | 14 | 66-69-70-65 (-14) | 8 | $0 |
| August 22-25 | BMW Championship | 39 | 76-72-74-68 (+2) | 14 | $0 |
Justin Thomas’ recent performance
- Thomas has qualified for the weekend in nine straight events.
- Thomas has finished with a score lower than the tournament average in four of his last five tournaments, including one finish within three strokes of the leader.
- He has an average score of -14 across his last five events.
- Over his last five events, Thomas has finished in the top five twice.
- Over his last 16 rounds, Thomas has finished under par 16 times, while also recording five par-or-better rounds and 10 rounds with a better-than-average score.
- He has carded the best score of the day once while finishing with a top-five score on seven occasions and a top-10 score in 10 of his last 16 rounds.
Justin Thomas’ last five outings
| Events | Within Three Shots | Within Five Shots | Below Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Justin Thomas’ Last Time Out
- Thomas recorded a birdie or better on three of the 12 par-3 holes at The Sentry, outperforming the field average of 2.2.
- On the 12 par-3 holes at The Sentry, Thomas recorded one bogey or worse (the field averaged 1.4).
- Thomas had fewer birdies or better (11) than the tournament average of 11.3 on the 44 par-4 holes at The Sentry.
- At that most recent outing, Thomas had a bogey or worse on five of the 44 par-4 holes (the field averaged 4.3).
- Thomas finished The Sentry recording a birdie or better on 12 par-5 holes, while the field averaged 10.2 on the 16 par-5 holes.
- Even though the field at The Sentry averaged 0.8 bogeys or worse on the 16 par-5 holes, Thomas finished without one.
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