The UMass Minutemen (5-10, 0-2 A-10) are heavy underdogs (+10.5) as they attempt to break a three-game losing streak when they host the Dayton Flyers (11-4, 1-1 A-10) at 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, January 8, 2025 at William D. Mullins Center. The matchup airs on Peacock. The over/under for the matchup is set at 147.5.
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Dayton Cover -10.5 vs UMass -108
Dayton vs. UMass betting lines
- Dayton moneyline odds to win: -599
- UMass moneyline odds to win: +437
- Spread: Dayton (-10.5)
- Total: 147.5
Dayton statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Dayton had a worse record against the spread at home (6-9-0) than it did in away games (6-4-1) last season.
- The Flyers hit the over on the total in a higher percentage of home games (60%) than road tilts (54.5%) last season.
- As a moneyline favorite last year, Dayton won 15 of 15 games when playing at home, good for a 1.000 winning percentage. Dayton won four of eight games away from home (.500) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Flyers have seen a decrease in scoring lately, putting up 76.4 points per game in their last 10 contests, 0.2 points fewer than the 76.6 they’ve scored this year.
- Dayton has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 72.5 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 68.3 it has surrendered this season.
- Over their last 10 outings, the Flyers are making the same number of three-pointers per game as their season long average (7.7), while shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (37.0% compared to 34.8% season-long).
Dayton betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-6-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 0-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 3-4-0 (As Favorite: 5-5-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
- O-U-P: 9-5-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 0-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-1 (Home: 8-0; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.7 (62nd in nation) | 42.1 (119th) | 32.7 (201st) | 29.0 (72nd) | 16.5 (57th) | 9.7 (32nd) |
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UMass statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- UMass’ winning percentage against the spread at home was .562 (9-7-0) last year. On the road, it was .600 (6-4-0).
- Minutemen games finished above the over/under less often at home (seven times out of 16) than away (five of 10) last season.
- The Minutemen’s winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs was 1.000 (1-0) last year, and on the road it was .400 (2-3).
Recent trends
- In their previous 10 games, the Minutemen are tallying 71.4 points per game, compared to their season average of 73.5.
- UMass is ceding 73.8 points per contest in its previous 10 games, which is 1.2 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (75.0).
- In their last 10 games, the Minutemen are making 4.5 treys per contest, 1.0 fewer threes than their season average (5.5). They also have a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (24.5%) compared to their season average (26.9%).
UMass betting records this season
- ATS Record: 5-9-0 (Home: 2-5-0; Away: 3-0-0)
- O-U-P: 8-6-0 (Home: 6-1-0; Away: 1-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-5 (Home: 3-4; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-5 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.8 (316th in nation) | 42.2 (126th) | 34.9 (78th) | 33.4 (293rd) | 13.5 (215th) | 11.4 (174th) |
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