Tua Tagovailoa and his Miami Dolphins teamates will take the field against the Cleveland Browns at 4:05 PM ET on Sunday in Week 17 of the 2024 NFL season. In this piece we’ll dig into the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Tagovailoa’s matchup.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.39
Tua Tagovailoa to go over 228.5 yards
Tua Tagovailoa Prop Lines
- Matchup: Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns
- Time: 4:05 PM ET
- Date: December 29, 2024
- Passing yards prop: Over 228.5 (-115)
Tua Tagovailoa Stats and Trends
- Tagovailoa leads Miami with 2,867 passing yards (260.6 per game) and a 72.9% completion rate (291-for-399), with 19 TD passes and seven interceptions.
- Tagovailoa is passing for 260.6 yards per game, which is higher than his prop bet total for this matchup of 228.5.
- In seven games this year, Tagovailoa has passed for over 228.5 yards.
- His 260.6 passing yards per game average is 29.4 greater than his average over/under of 231.2.
- So far this season, Tagovailoa has exceeded his passing yards prop total in five of 10 opportunities.
- He has thrown a touchdown pass in all 11 games this season, with more than one TD pass five times.
- Also, Tagovailoa has picked up 49 rushing yards (4.5 per game) on 17 carries.
Recent Performances vs. the Browns
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cowboys | 163 | 1 |
| 2 | Jaguars | 196 | 0 |
| 3 | Giants | 228 | 2 |
| 4 | Raiders | 116 | 0 |
| 5 | Commanders | 219 | 1 |
| 6 | Eagles | 256 | 2 |
| 7 | Bengals | 164 | 2 |
| 8 | Ravens | 263 | 2 |
| 9 | Chargers | 246 | 2 |
| 11 | Saints | 259 | 2 |
| 12 | Steelers | 248 | 1 |
| 13 | Broncos | 294 | 1 |
| 14 | Steelers | 147 | 2 |
| 15 | Chiefs | 179 | 2 |
| 16 | Bengals | 210 | 3 |
Dolphins Away Splits
- The Dolphins score 15.3 points per game away from home (five fewer than overall) and allow 20.7 on the road (1.2 fewer than overall).
- On the road, the Dolphins pick up fewer yards (303.4 per game) than they do overall (327.9). But they also allow fewer on the road (310.6) than overall (312.9).
- The Dolphins pick up 195.9 passing yards per game on the road (26.2 fewer than overall), and allow 201.9 on the road (nine fewer than overall).
- On the road the Dolphins pick up more rushing yards (107.6 per game) than overall (105.7). But they also give up more rushing yards (108.7) than overall (102.1).
- The Dolphins convert fewer third downs on the road (31.4%) than they do overall (38.1%), but also allow opponents to convert on fewer third downs on the road (34.9%) than overall (35%).
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