The Bahamas Bowl will feature the Buffalo Bulls squaring off against the Liberty Flames on Saturday, January 4, 2025.

The Bulls are favored, but by less than a touchdown (-3.5), versus the Flames. The over/under for this matchup is 50.5 points.

Below you’ll find our preview for this this matchup between the Bulls and the Flames, and find all of our predictions here, too!

Buffalo vs. Liberty betting lines

• Spread favorite: Bulls (-3.5)
• Moneyline: Bulls (-186), Flames (+154)
• Total: 50.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Fubo

Buffalo vs. Liberty betting info and stats

Buffalo has six wins against the spread in 11 opportunities this season (6-5-0). Buffalo has covered the spread in two games when the favorite by at least 3.5 points (a 2-1 ATS record). Buffalo has been listed as moneyline favorites four times this season, and has put up a 4-0 record in those matchups. Liberty has an against-the-spread record of 3-8-0 so far this season. This will be the first time on the year Liberty is the moneyline underdog.

Buffalo vs. Liberty recent stats and trends

Buffalo Bulls

• Buffalo has covered the spread twice in its past three contests while putting up a 3-0 record straight-up in those games.
• The final combined score of the last three Buffalo games has surpassed the set total every time.
• The last three Buffalo games averaged 52.8 total points, 2.3 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Liberty Flames

• Liberty is 1-2 against the spread in its past three games, and has a 3-0 straight-up record in those matchups.
• Liberty and its opponents have combined to hit the over two times in those games.
• Liberty’s past three games have ended with an average of 52 points scored. That’s 1.5 more points than this contest’s over/under.

Buffalo vs. Liberty key players

Buffalo Bulls

• CJ Ogbonna has been a dual threat for Buffalo so far this season. He has 2,244 passing yards, completing 57.1% of his passes and recording 19 touchdown passes and five interceptions this season. He’s rushed for 314 yards (26.2 ypg) on 107 carries with eight rushing touchdowns.
• Al-Jay Henderson has racked up 959 yards on 183 carries while finding the end zone eight times as a runner. He’s also caught 17 passes for 202 yards (16.8 per game) and one touchdown through the air.
• Victor Snow’s team-high 610 yards as a receiver have come on 51 catches (out of 75 targets) with six touchdowns.
• JJ Jenkins has put up a 536-yard season so far with four touchdowns, reeling in 36 passes on 59 targets.
• Taji Johnson has a total of 213 receiving yards so far this year, hauling in 19 throws and scoring two touchdowns.
• Kobe Stewart has 9.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has seven TFL and 37 tackles.
• Shaun Dolac has 153 tackles, 12 TFL, 5.5 sacks, and five interceptions, and leads the team in both tackles and interceptions.

Liberty Flames

• Kaidon Salter has thrown for 1,886 yards (171.5 ypg) while completing 56.3% of his passes and recording 15 touchdown passes with six interceptions this season. He’s also rushed for 579 yards with seven touchdowns.
• The team’s top rusher, Quinton Cooley, has carried the ball 205 times for 1,254 yards (114 per game) with 13 touchdowns.
• Billy Lucas has been given 120 carries and totaled 663 yards with five touchdowns.
• Treon Sibley leads his team with 499 receiving yards on 26 catches with two touchdowns.
• Elijah Canion has 25 receptions (on 46 targets) for a total of 354 yards (39.3 yards per game) and three touchdowns this year.
• Tyson Mobley’s 28 receptions (on 47 targets) have netted him 272 yards (27.2 ypg) and one touchdown.
• TJ Bush has 5.5 sacks to pace the team, and also has six TFL and 43 tackles.
• Liberty’s leading tackler, Joseph Carter, has 61 tackles, four TFL, and 1.5 sacks this year.
• Amarian Williams leads the team with three interceptions, while also recording 11 tackles and three passes defended.